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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 975761 times)
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #3375 on: July 22, 2012, 01:39:31 AM »


Ok, it's basically:
yellow: states with Hispanic plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole state.
blue: black plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole state.
red: Asian plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole state.
green: native American plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole
blue: VT+NH are the only states which have no non-white plurality/majority precincts
Colours are non-political, have to do with demographics and precincts.






How can AZ and NC each have only one native American plurality precinct?
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Mechaman
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« Reply #3376 on: July 31, 2012, 06:25:15 PM »

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Mechaman
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« Reply #3377 on: August 02, 2012, 11:34:58 AM »


Any guesses?
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FEMA Camp Administrator
Cathcon
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« Reply #3378 on: August 02, 2012, 12:38:19 PM »


How many times the Dems have won without each state.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #3379 on: August 02, 2012, 01:08:35 PM »

The number of times a Democrat has won while losing that state.
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Mechaman
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« Reply #3380 on: August 02, 2012, 05:00:01 PM »

Both correct gentlemen.
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Cathcon
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« Reply #3381 on: August 18, 2012, 11:49:36 AM »
« Edited: August 18, 2012, 01:32:24 PM by Cathcon »

1896

Senator William B. Allison (Republican-Iowa)/Former Governor Matthew Quay (Republican-Pennsylvania) 252 electoral votes 45.4% of the popular vote
Allen G. Thurman (Democrat-Ohio)/Former Congressman Henry Watterson (Democrat-Kentucky) 142 electoral votes, 41.3% of the popular vote
Senator William Jennings Bryan (Populist-Nebraska)/Congressman Thomas E. Watson (Populist-Georgia) 53 electoral votes, 12.8% of the popular vote

1900

President William B. Allison (Republican-Iowa)/Senator Joseph B. Foraker (Republican-Ohio) 236 electoral votes, 46.3% of the popular vote
Former President Grover Cleveland (Democrat-New York)/Former Senator William Freeman Vilas (Democrat-Wisconsin) 174 electoral votes, 42.4% of the popular vote
Congressman Thomas Watson (Populist-Georgia)/State Senator and Former Congressman Ignatius Donnelly (Populist-Minnesota) 37 electoral votes, 10.8% of the popular vote

1904

Senator William Jennings Bryan (Populist-Nebraska)/Former Governor John P. Buchanan 240 electoral votes, 34.7% of the popular vote
President Joseph B. Foraker (Republican-Ohio)/Governor Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-New York) 174 electoral votes, 32.5% of the popular vote
Senator George Gray (Democrat-Delaware)/Senator Murphy J. Foster (Democrat-Louisiana) 62 electoral votes, 30.9% of the popular vote

1908

Senator Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-New York)/Governor Andrew L. Harris (Republican-Ohio) 311 electoral votes, 51.7% of the popular vote
President William Jennings Bryan (Populist-Nebraska)/Vice President John P. Buchanan (Populist-Tennessee) 151 electoral votes, 38.2% of the popular vote
Senator Benjamin Tillman (Democrat-South Carolina)/Governor Joseph T Robinson (Democrat-Arkansas) 21 electoral votes, 10.1% of the popular vote

1912

President Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-New York)/Vice President Andrew L. Harris (Republican-Ohio) 370 electoral votes, 53.8% of the popular vote
Congressman Beauchamp Clark (Populist-Missouri)/Former Governor Thomas Marshall (Populist-Indiana) 161 electoral votes, 44.2% of the popular vote
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morgieb
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« Reply #3382 on: September 04, 2012, 12:40:40 AM »

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NHI
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« Reply #3383 on: September 10, 2012, 03:22:09 PM »

1992: Perot's Victory
Perot: 298 (35.7%)
Clinton: 211 (34.8%)
Bush: 29  (27.8%)

1996: Perot, No More
Brown: 476 (42.8%)
Dole: 51 (31.3%)
Perot: 11 (24.9%)

2000: Somewhat Back to Normal
Brown: 302 (48.2%)
McCain: 236 (44.0%)
Buchanan: 0 (4.8%)

2004: The Republicans Strike Back
Powell: 290 (50.0%)
Kerry: 248 (48.7%)

2008:
Powell: 402 (56.1%)
Dean: 136 (42.8%)

2012: History Made
Rell: 318 (51.9%)
Schweitzer: 220 (47.1%)
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NHI
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« Reply #3384 on: September 23, 2012, 09:04:41 AM »

Obama: 372
Romney: 105
Huckabee: 61
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #3385 on: September 23, 2012, 09:52:43 AM »

Unless Obama is in the low 40's, he should be doing WAY better than that.
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OAM
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« Reply #3386 on: September 23, 2012, 01:55:13 PM »

Yeah, if you don't mind, here's my take on the scenario.  Granted, it's basically handwaved that Huckabee is suddenly in.  NHI probably had more backstory to his map.



Obama:  431
Romney:  71
Huckabee:  36
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3387 on: September 23, 2012, 10:26:15 PM »

I could even see Obama winning Mississippi and South Carolina because of the big percentage of African Americans along with the split Republican vote.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #3388 on: September 23, 2012, 10:53:03 PM »



Barack Obama/Joe Biden (D): 43.74%
Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan (R): 36.54%
Ron Paul/Gary Johnson (L): 19.72%



Chris Christie/Rand Paul (R): 54.55%
Martin O'Malley/Elizabeth Warren (D): 43.55%
Other: 1.9%

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NHI
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« Reply #3389 on: October 01, 2012, 09:11:41 PM »

Sixteen Years
Obama/Biden: 408 (54.6%)
McCain/Palin: 130 (43.1%)

Obama/Biden: 387 (52.6%)
Romney/Thune: 151 (45.8%)

Clinton/Schweitzer: 374 (53.0%)
Jindal/Pence: 164 (45.2%)

Clinton/Schweitzer: 274 (50.0%)
Walker/Sandoval: 264 (48.5%)

Rubio/Pawlenty: 313 (51.9%)
Schweitzer/Booker: 225 (47.0%)
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #3390 on: October 04, 2012, 04:18:47 PM »

How do you adjust the electoral vote numbers?
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Kitteh
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« Reply #3391 on: October 07, 2012, 07:45:06 PM »


Wallace 33.53
Nixon 33.42
Humphrey 32.72

Wallace 155
Nixon 227
Humphrey 156

Despite winning the popular vote by a hair, George Wallace comes in third in the electoral college because of poor vote distribution (failing to win a single non-southern state).
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Kitteh
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« Reply #3392 on: October 08, 2012, 06:41:39 PM »

Following up on my last post:



34.03 Wallace
32.17 Nixon
30.57 Humphrey

199 Wallace
183 Nixon
156 Humphrey

This is the minimum required for Wallace to win an EC plurality, using uniform national swing away from Nixon and Humphrey and to Wallace. Swing is -11.25 from both Humphrey and Nixon and +22.5 to Wallace.

Closest States:
Missouri- Wallace +0.27%
Ohio- Wallace +0.33%
Nevada- Nixon +0.46
Alaska- Wallace+0.54%
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #3393 on: October 17, 2012, 04:50:18 PM »

Go ahead, take a stab at it.

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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #3394 on: October 17, 2012, 08:00:28 PM »

Roosevelt v Landon v Long?
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NHI
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« Reply #3395 on: October 17, 2012, 08:04:55 PM »

2012:
Romney: 292 (51%)
Obama: 246 (47%)

2016:
Romney: 350 (54%)
O'Malley: 188 (44%)
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #3396 on: October 17, 2012, 08:59:03 PM »


Yes sir.
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NHI
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« Reply #3397 on: October 17, 2012, 09:05:15 PM »

We Want Carter
Carter/Mondale: 327 (51%)
Ford/Dole: 211 (47%)

Carter Saves the Hostages
Carter: 274 (49%)
Reagan/Bush: 264 (48%)

A Republican Returns
Kemp/Crane: 368 (53%)
Mondale/Kennedy: 170 (45%)

The Man From Texas
Bentsen/Clinton: 272 (49.3%)
Kemp/Crane: 266 (49.2%)

One the Greatest Presidents
Bentsen/Clinton: 440 (56%)
Dole/Quayle: 98 (42%)

The Man From Hope
Clinton/Gore: 399 (54%)
Graham/Lugar

The Comeback Kid
Clinton/Gore: 300 (50%)
McCain/Kasich: 238 (48%)

The Closest Election
Gore/Kerry: 270 (47.9%)
Gregg/Ryan: 268 (49.4%)

And So It Ends
Giuliani/Palin: 278 (49.7%)
Gore/Kerry: 260 (48.2%)

Landslide Rudy
Giuliani/Palin: 500 (61%)
Dean/Gregoire: 38 (37%)
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #3398 on: October 17, 2012, 10:01:12 PM »

1968


Hubert Humphrey (Democratic) - 222 EV *
Nelson Rockefeller (Republican) - 239 EV
George Wallace (American Independent) - 77 EV

*Humphrey wins due to House vote, new amendment passed after election would declare popular vote victor president if electoral college inconclusive.

1972

Ronald Reagan (Republican) - 269 EV (48.4%)
Hubert Humphrey (Democratic) - 269 EV (48.1%)

1976

Ronald Reagan (Republican) - 391 EV
Edmund Muskie (Democratic) - 147 EV

1980

Ted Kennedy (Democratic) - 408 EV
Gerald Ford (Republican) - 130 EV

1984

Ted Kennedy (Democratic) - 456 EV
Jack Kemp (Republican) - 60 EV
John Anderson (Independent) - 22 EV

1988

Lloyd Bentsen (Democratic) - 399 EV
Bob Dole (Republican) - 139 EV

1992

Lloyd Bentsen (Democratic) - 294 EV
George H.W Bush (Republican) - 244 EV

1996

Pete Wilson (Republican) - 362 EV
Al Gore (Democratic) - 176 EV

2000

Pete Wilson (Republican) - 289 EV
Bill Clinton (Democratic) - 243 EV
Ron Dellums (Progressive) - 6 EV

2004

Tom Ridge (Republican) - 277 EV
Bill Clinton (Democratic) - 202 EV
Paul Wellstone (Progressive) - 59 EV

2008

Brian Schweitzer (Democratic) - 413 EV
Tom Ridge (Republican) - 125 EV
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gsmiro
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« Reply #3399 on: October 19, 2012, 02:02:38 PM »

A tie between the Democrats and Republicans.  Both gets 269 EV.  Then it is up to each of the electors to decide if any one is going to switch vote.  If that is still tied after the electoral college voted, then we go to the House of Representatives.  Interesting and potentially dangerous scenarios.
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