Paul's reelection problem

[Angel of Death]

What is the current status of Rand Paul supposedly not being allowed to run for reelection and seek the Presidency at the same time?

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

I kind of doubt he'll make it to the filing deadline in Kentucky before dropping out. He'll be fine.

[ElectionsGuy]

I was actually just about to make a thread about this.

I think what will eventually happen is there will be a set date for the caucus of the Kentucky Senate Race. Right before that date, Paul is going to have to make a decision whether he will continue a presidential campaign and abandon the Senate, or abandoning the Presidential race to keep his Senate seat. The latter being much more likely.

[Adriano Chiká]

And if Paul begin to rise in the polls? Which numbers could Paul decide to leave the Senate to continue in the race?

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Whether it even is a problem depends on who wins the SOS race in KY this year. A republican SOS would presumably refuse to enforce the law, allowing Paul's name to appear twice on the GE ballot if necessary.

[TransfemmeGoreVidal]

I think that congressman John Yarmuth could give him a run for his money.mHe could easily be attacked for ignoring his constituents in Kentucky for the sake of a losing bid for president.

[Torie]

I think that congressman John Yarmuth could give him a run for his money.mHe could easily be attacked for ignoring his constituents in Kentucky for the sake of a losing bid for president.

I tend to doubt that if Rand gets out in a timely and graceful manner.

[Mr. Morden]

The Kentucky GOP wants to ditch the primary in order to allocate delegates based on a caucus.  So the presidential primary will still take place, but Paul won't have his name on the ballot, because his name will be on the Senate primary ballot.  But it won't matter, because the presidential primary will won't decide any delegates.  In the unlikely event that Paul wins the GOP presidential nomination, then he'll have to drop his Senate candidacy in the general election.

At least, that's the plan.  But the Kentucky GOP has apparently delayed announcing its caucus plans because of cost and logistical issues.  They'll probably be able to sort it out, but it's not a sure thing.  So there's still an outside chance that Paul will have to drop either his presidential campaign or Senate campaign even in the primary stage.  IIRC, the filing deadline is in February, so he wouldn't have to make any decisions until then.

[Maxwell]

I think that congressman John Yarmuth could give him a run for his money.mHe could easily be attacked for ignoring his constituents in Kentucky for the sake of a losing bid for president.

Yarmuth is already running for re-election, though my guess would be he is the strongest candidate the Democrats have in the state (considering all the statewide officers are empty suits like Grimes and Conway who look good on paper but fare poorly in reality).