Quinnipiac National: Close race between Clinton and Bush/Walker

[MT Treasurer]

Clinton: 48%
Trump: 36%

Clinton: 41%
Bush: 42%

Clinton: 44%
Walker: 43%

Biden: 49%
Trump: 37%

Biden: 43%
Bush: 42%

Biden: 43%
Walker: 43%

Sanders: 45%
Trump: 37%

Bush: 44%
Sanders: 39%

Walker: 42%
Sanders: 37%

Trump is not honest and trustworthy, voters say 58 –33 percent, and he doesn’t care about their needs and problems, voters say 63 –31 percent.

Clinton is not honest and trustworthy, voters say 57 –37 percent, and doesn’t care about their needs and problems, voters say 52 – 45 percent.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/us/us07302015_U645de.pdf

[Senator Cris]

Biden is performing better than Hillary with Bush.

Favorability ratings:
 
Carson 27-14 (+ 13)
Biden 49-39 (+ 10)
Walker 36-27 (+ 9)
Sanders 32-25 (+ 7)
Rubio 32-28 (+ 4)
Kasich 16-13 (+ 3)
Bush 43-41 (+ 2)
Webb 11-10 (+ 1)
Fiorina 15-16 ( -1)
Paul 32-33 (- 1)
Jindal 20-22 (- 2)
Cruz 28-31 (- 3)
Huckabee 34-37 (- 3)
Gilmore 3-7 (- 4)
O'Malley 9-14 (- 5)
Chafee 5-11 (- 6)
Pataki 12-19 (- 7)
Santorum 24-33 (- 9)
Perry 26-36 (- 10)
Clinton 40-51 (- 11)
Graham 14-31 (-17)
Christie 24-48 (- 24)
Trump 27-59 (- 32)

[Mr. Morden]

That's an amazingly good favorability # for Biden.  When was the last time he was +10 in a national poll?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

QU has been hash on Clinton; but she is still leading in swing state of Ohio and Strickland is too. I am satisfied with those results more than natl poll numbers.

[Landslide Lyndon]

That's an amazingly good favorability # for Biden.  When was the last time he was +10 in a national poll?

As long as I can remember he always had negative or break even favorables.

[Skye]

Good for Bush. Biden should make up his mind, I'm tired of the uncertainty.

[Mr. Morden]

That's an amazingly good favorability # for Biden.  When was the last time he was +10 in a national poll?

As long as I can remember he always had negative or break even favorables.

Maybe he has the potential to leave office on a high note, finally being loved by the American electorate.

But that hinges on him not screwing it all up by running for president again. 

[Devils30]

the sample has more R's than D's

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Biden 49-39 (+ 10)
Sanders 32-25 (+ 7)
Clinton 40-51 (- 11)

Hillary supporters want the least electable of these 3. I expect Sanders to end up with similar numbers to Biden.

[pbrower2a]

A rap that I once heard on Hillary Clinton is that she "isn't an effective liar".

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

A rap that I once heard on Hillary Clinton is that she "isn't an effective liar".

Not as bad as Joe Lieberman, but yes, her trustworthy ratings are terrible.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

That's an amazingly good favorability # for Biden.  When was the last time he was +10 in a national poll?

Which is what makes me wonder about this poll...

[Landslide Lyndon]

Ronald Reagan in 1980 and Bill Clinton in 1992 had negative favorability ratings too.
I guess that proved fatal for their campaigns.

Oh wait...

[Mehmentum]

An average of Clinton's favorability in recent nationwide polls that included fav-unfav ratings. (I think I got them all).

Quinnipiac: 40-51 (-10)
CNN: 44-49 (-5)    
PPP: 41-51 (-10)
NBC: 44-40 (+4)
Democracy Corps: 44-48 (-4)
Fox: 45-52 (-6)

Average: 43-48.5 (-5.5)

A -5 Favorability seems reasonable.

Sanders:
Quinnipiac: 32-25 (+7)
CNN: 23-22 (+1)
PPP: 27-37 (-10)
NBC: 16-13 (+3)

Average: 24.5-24.3 (+0.2)

Sander's fav. ratings don't mean much right now, since his name recognition is so low.  Ben Carson has good favorability ratings for the same reason.

[fenrir]

Quinnipiac seems a little conservative in ideology and methodology, but regardless of what you think of all the smoke surrounding Team Clinton, she has a lot of image work to do with swing states and independents. This is yet another abysmal poll for them.

They could take heart in the fact that there's a positive gap between mistrustfulness and caring about ordinary issues, but I think it's safe to say that she's being significantly damaged by the saturation and overexposure of the GOP field combined with the constant harping on the email server, Clinton foundation, and Benghazi.

She's never been very likeable or natural as a campaigner but they must improve on these issues. They need to get out there and not be afraid to engage the media, town halls, and average voters or she'll lose to a well-funded Republican.

[Mister Mets]

That's an amazingly good favorability # for Biden.  When was the last time he was +10 in a national poll?

It's easy to get good poll numbers when the belief is you're not running/ threatening anyone.

I'm sure part of it is that he has suffered a horrible loss recently.

[RJEvans]

Looking at the internals of the poll and comparing it with their previous poll there is nothing really surprising by these numbers. Yes, Clinton has an image issue, but with regards to the matchups, the majority of the shift can be attributed from going to a D+4 sample to and R+2 sample. Ind shifted slightly to Bush and Bush consolidated the Republican vote in this sample. For Hillary fans, this shouldn't spook you...yet. But it should be a cause of concern given her honest and trustworthy image.

[pbrower2a]

If one goes with basically a 2014 electorate, then few Democrats can win. In 2014 only one open seat in the Senate went D -- a Democratic hold in Michigan.

With a 2012 electorate far more Democrats (and D-leaners)  than Republicans (and R-leaners) add their votes to the vote. The 2016 electorate will look much more like the 2012 electorate than like the 2014 electorate. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I see the discrepency between QU and other polls like Marist.

Marist assumes Trump will be nominee; which he wont, and QU uses Jeb. Which either he or Christie will be; but Clinton still leads within margin of error.