Marist: Hillary leads all 17 candidates by between 5-21 points (user search)
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  Marist: Hillary leads all 17 candidates by between 5-21 points (search mode)
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Author Topic: Marist: Hillary leads all 17 candidates by between 5-21 points  (Read 1978 times)
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Icefire9
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« on: July 31, 2015, 03:27:45 PM »

Its hard to see where she'd be overperforming if she's underperforming in the swing states.  My best guess would be blue states, but A) I find it hard to believe that 2016 will be more polarized than 2012, and B) the PPP Illinois poll seems to contradict that.

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Icefire9
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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2015, 04:55:56 PM »

This sample was D+11. Throw it in the trash.
I see D+8.  33% Democrat, 25% Republican, 40% independent.

2012 was D+6.  It may be slightly left leaning, but not trash-worthy.
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Icefire9
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« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2015, 07:03:10 PM »

Something interesting is that Clinton's support actually drops by 5 points when Trump is added.  That means that 5% of Americans are like "I hate Bush and Clinton's alright, but you know who I really want to be president? Donald Trump."

I'm really curious to see who's order of preference is Trump-Clinton-Bush.  Who are these people?
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Icefire9
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« Reply #3 on: August 01, 2015, 10:39:07 PM »

Among the top GOP candidates Clinton is underperforming Obama by 2-4 points.
Obama beat Romney by 4 points in 2012.  In this poll Clinton is leading Bush by 6 points.

I suppose that you must mean that since she's at 47 - 49% in this poll, that means she's 'trailing' Obama's 51% performance in 2012.  Of course, by that measure the leading Republicans are trailing Romney by 4 to 6 points in this poll.
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Icefire9
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« Reply #4 on: August 02, 2015, 04:05:35 PM »

"And, in 2016, Clinton crushed John Kasich 49-39, with third parties getting twelve percent."

- Accuracy of these polls
Do you know what 'undecided' means?
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