Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.
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Author Topic: Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.  (Read 48404 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #250 on: January 13, 2016, 08:21:15 AM »
« edited: January 15, 2016, 04:34:58 PM by Tender Branson »
JEB SURGING

TRUMP 39
Cruz 15
Bush 11
Carson 10
Rubio 7
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cxs018
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« Reply #251 on: January 13, 2016, 09:20:57 AM »
YOU CAN'T EBB THE JEB
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Ebsy
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« Reply #252 on: January 13, 2016, 11:38:52 AM »
I'm wondering if this polling bump for Sanders is just statistical noise. Some polls aren't showing it at all, while others with questionable records have been posting obvious outlier numbers.
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Broken System
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« Reply #253 on: January 13, 2016, 12:01:35 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on January 13, 2016, 11:38:52 AM
I'm wondering if this polling bump for Sanders is just statistical noise. Some polls aren't showing it at all, while others with questionable records have been posting obvious outlier numbers.

Isn't Reuters the least trusted of them all?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #254 on: January 13, 2016, 12:07:43 PM »
« Edited: January 13, 2016, 12:29:23 PM by Eraserhead »
Quote from: Ebsy on January 13, 2016, 11:38:52 AM
I'm wondering if this polling bump for Sanders is just statistical noise. Some polls aren't showing it at all, while others with questionable records have been posting obvious outlier numbers.

What polls haven't shown it other than this one and Gravis Marketing?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #255 on: January 13, 2016, 12:17:33 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on January 13, 2016, 12:07:43 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on January 13, 2016, 11:38:52 AM
I'm wondering if this polling bump for Sanders is just statistical noise. Some polls aren't showing it at all, while others with questionable records have been posting obvious outlier numbers.

What polls haven't shown it other than this one and Travis Marketing?
FOX. I guess we will have to see what DMR/Selzer has to say tomorrow.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #256 on: January 13, 2016, 12:39:41 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on January 13, 2016, 12:17:33 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on January 13, 2016, 12:07:43 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on January 13, 2016, 11:38:52 AM
I'm wondering if this polling bump for Sanders is just statistical noise. Some polls aren't showing it at all, while others with questionable records have been posting obvious outlier numbers.

What polls haven't shown it other than this one and Travis Marketing?
FOX. I guess we will have to see what DMR/Selzer has to say tomorrow.

Even Fox showed a 7 point swing towards Sanders.
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cxs018
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« Reply #257 on: January 13, 2016, 03:14:29 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on January 13, 2016, 12:17:33 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on January 13, 2016, 12:07:43 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on January 13, 2016, 11:38:52 AM
I'm wondering if this polling bump for Sanders is just statistical noise. Some polls aren't showing it at all, while others with questionable records have been posting obvious outlier numbers.

What polls haven't shown it other than this one and Travis Marketing?
FOX. I guess we will have to see what DMR/Selzer has to say tomorrow.

I don't think Reuters or Gravis are very trustworthy.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #258 on: January 15, 2016, 10:09:45 PM »
Five day rolling average through Jan. 15:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20160111-20160115/type/day

Dems

Clinton 51%
Sanders 37%
O’Malley 4%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20160111-20160115/type/day

GOP

Trump 38%
Cruz 17%
Bush 9%
Carson 8%
Rubio 8%
Christie 4%
Huckabee 3%
Fiorina 2%
Paul 2%
Kasich 2%
Santorum 2%
Gilmore 1%
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #259 on: January 15, 2016, 10:13:14 PM »

MOST RECENT POLL: 0%
INFINITY PERCENT INCREASE
GILMENTUM IS REAL
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #260 on: January 15, 2016, 10:14:50 PM »
Trendline of national polls from all pollsters:
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #261 on: January 15, 2016, 10:37:21 PM »
Wow the Dem numbers on here finally tightened up!
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A Perez
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« Reply #262 on: January 16, 2016, 02:07:53 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on January 15, 2016, 10:37:21 PM
Wow the Dem numbers on here finally tightened up!
Of course. Reuters took note of other pollsters finding tend X, so they didn't wanna be the black sheep. So they magically dropped Hillary's lead in a heart beat.
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bigedlb
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« Reply #263 on: January 16, 2016, 10:43:50 PM »
Drudge link as of 1/16/16 @ 7:39 PST

GOP

Trump 40.2%
Cruz 15.0%
Carson 12.0%
Bush 8.2%
Rubio 7.0%
Christie 3.3%
Fiorina 2.8%
Paul 2.6%
Huckabee 2.3%
Kasich 1.6%
Santorum 0.4%
Gilmore 0.0%

No one 4.6%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #264 on: January 17, 2016, 12:24:22 AM »
Quote from: bigedlb on January 16, 2016, 10:43:50 PM
Drudge link as of 1/16/16 @ 7:39 PST

GOP

Trump 40.2%
Cruz 15.0%
Carson 12.0%
Bush 8.2%
Rubio 7.0%
Christie 3.3%
Fiorina 2.8%
Paul 2.6%
Huckabee 2.3%
Kasich 1.6%
Santorum 0.4%
Gilmore 0.0%

No one 4.6%



Link?  Because I don't see those numbers.
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komodozer
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« Reply #265 on: January 19, 2016, 02:57:11 PM »
Something very odd going on in the GOP tracking for Jan 19...
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Potus
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« Reply #266 on: January 19, 2016, 03:00:04 PM »
Quote from: komodozer on January 19, 2016, 02:57:11 PM
Something very odd going on in the GOP tracking for Jan 19...

What if this is all of those prognostications and rumors come to pass?

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TR130/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20151204-20160119/collapsed/false/spotlight/1
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Holmes
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« Reply #267 on: January 19, 2016, 03:03:30 PM »
Quote from: komodozer on January 19, 2016, 02:57:11 PM
Something very odd going on in the GOP tracking for Jan 19...

LOL Reuters
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #268 on: January 19, 2016, 03:17:32 PM »
Cruz......29%
Trump......23%
Jeb......14%
Rubio......12%
Carson......8%
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bigedlb
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« Reply #269 on: January 19, 2016, 03:18:22 PM »
Trump 35  Cruz 20 Bush 10 Rubio 10
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #270 on: January 19, 2016, 03:23:28 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on January 19, 2016, 03:21:00 PM
Which numbers are the real ones?  Either something big is happening, or nothing at all...

Even Jeb! being at 10% nationally (and tied for first amongst Establishment candidates) would be noteworthy, even if from a crappy pollster.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #271 on: January 19, 2016, 03:24:55 PM »
yeah wtf just happened
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bigedlb
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« Reply #272 on: January 19, 2016, 03:27:06 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on January 19, 2016, 03:21:00 PM
Which numbers are the real ones?  Either something big is happening, or nothing at all...
I filtered for 1/15-1/19, and Republican Adults which is what has being use
. Trump down 3, Cruz up 3...
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #273 on: January 19, 2016, 03:54:11 PM »
http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20151001-20160119/type/day

Here's 1/19 isolated
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #274 on: January 19, 2016, 03:59:08 PM »

I see TRUMP leading 35-15?
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