Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.
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Author Topic: Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.  (Read 48401 times)
The Other Castro
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« Reply #75 on: September 29, 2015, 05:59:13 PM »
Imagine how well Gilmore will be doing once he leaves his house.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #76 on: September 30, 2015, 01:13:43 AM »
It was updated again today.

Clinton 43.6
Sanders 28.0
Biden 16.8
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Crumpets
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« Reply #77 on: September 30, 2015, 01:49:48 AM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on September 30, 2015, 01:13:43 AM
It was updated again today.

Clinton 43.6
Sanders 28.0
Biden 16.8

Seriously Reuters, go home. You're drunk.

August 26th Clinton +27
August 29th Clinton +13
September 3rd Clinton +23
September 11th Clinton +8
September 17th Clinton +24
September 22nd Clinton +9
September 28th Clinton +21

What is this?
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Donald Trump 2016 !
captainkangaroo
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« Reply #78 on: September 30, 2015, 06:04:52 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on September 29, 2015, 01:36:32 PM
GOP

Trump 30%
Carson 18%
Bush 10%
Fiorina 8%
Rubio 6%
Cruz 5%
Christie 3%
Huckabee 3%
Kasich 3%
Gilmore 2%
Paul 2%
Walker 2%
Jindal 1%
Santorum 1%
Graham, Pataki 0%

Paul is tied with Gilmore. That's gotta sting.
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weixiaobao
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« Reply #79 on: September 30, 2015, 08:46:13 AM »
Quote from: captainkangaroo on September 30, 2015, 06:04:52 AM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on September 29, 2015, 01:36:32 PM
GOP

Trump 30%
Carson 18%
Bush 10%
Fiorina 8%
Rubio 6%
Cruz 5%
Christie 3%
Huckabee 3%
Kasich 3%
Gilmore 2%
Paul 2%
Walker 2%
Jindal 1%
Santorum 1%
Graham, Pataki 0%

Paul is tied with Gilmore. That's gotta sting.

Not anymore.
http://polling.reuters.com/#!response/TR130/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20150928-20150929/collapsed/false/chart/table
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #80 on: September 30, 2015, 09:16:40 AM »
Latest GOP #s (through Sept. 29):

link

Trump 30%
Carson 13%
Fiorina 11%
Bush 10%
Paul 6%
Rubio 5%
Huckabee 5%
Cruz 5%
Christie 3%
Jindal 2%
Kasich 1%
Santorum 1%
Pataki, Graham, Gilmore 0%
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #81 on: October 01, 2015, 12:54:23 AM »
Quote from: Thinking Crumpets Crumpet on September 30, 2015, 01:49:48 AM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on September 30, 2015, 01:13:43 AM
It was updated again today.

Clinton 43.6
Sanders 28.0
Biden 16.8

Seriously Reuters, go home. You're drunk.

August 26th Clinton +27
August 29th Clinton +13
September 3rd Clinton +23
September 11th Clinton +8
September 17th Clinton +24
September 22nd Clinton +9
September 28th Clinton +21

What is this?
Zogby style polling!
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #82 on: October 02, 2015, 02:41:43 PM »
http://ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=14934
Well, Hillary actually leads by 21%....
Dems:
Clinton- 46%
Sanders- 25%
Biden- 19%
Chafee- 1%
Cuomo(?)- 1%
Gillibrand(??)- 1%
O'Malley - 1%
Webb - 0%

Republicans:
Trump- 32%
Carson- 12%
Bush- 10%   
Fiorina- 8%   
Paul- 7%   
Rubio- 7%
Christie- 5%   
Cruz- 5%   
Huckabee- 3%      
Santorum- 2%   
Gilmore- 1%   
Jindal- 1%   
Kasich- 1%   
Pataki- 0%   
Graham- 0%   
   
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #83 on: October 04, 2015, 01:12:54 AM »
« Edited: October 04, 2015, 01:15:12 AM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »
This poll has a lot less noise if you switch to it by the month.
Last month had 4690 responses (MOE is 1.4%)
Clinton 43.3
Sanders 27.2
Biden 15.9
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #84 on: October 07, 2015, 01:25:52 AM »
« Edited: October 08, 2015, 08:28:39 PM by Mr. Morden »
Latest (through Oct. 6):

link

Dems

Clinton 45%
Sanders 27%
Biden 17%
O’Malley 2%
Chafee 1%
Webb, Gillibrand, Cuomo 0%

link

Republicans

Trump 33%
Carson 16%
Bush 16%
Rubio 7%
Fiorina 6%
Paul 5%
Cruz 4%
Huckabee 3%
Christie 3%
Kasich 1%
Jindal 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki, Santorum 0%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #85 on: October 08, 2015, 08:33:44 PM »
#s for Oct. 3-7:

http://ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=14945

Dems

Clinton 44%
Sanders 27%
Biden 18%
O’Malley 2%
Chafee 1%

3-way:

Clinton 42%
Sanders 29%
Biden 23%
(Huh?  The exclusion of Chafee and O’Malley from the list causes Clinton voters to defect to Biden and Sanders?)

GOP

Trump 31%
Carson 17%
Bush 14%
Fiorina 7%
Rubio 7%
Paul 4%
Cruz 4%
Huckabee 4%
Christie 3%
Kasich 1%
Pataki, Gilmore, Jindal, Santorum, Graham 0%

3-way:

Trump 39%
Carson 32%
Bush 23%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #86 on: October 08, 2015, 08:41:58 PM »
Latest national polling trendlines:
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jfern
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« Reply #87 on: October 09, 2015, 04:21:26 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on October 08, 2015, 08:33:44 PM
#s for Oct. 3-7:

http://ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=14945

Dems

Clinton 44%
Sanders 27%
Biden 18%
O’Malley 2%
Chafee 1%

3-way:

Clinton 42%
Sanders 29%
Biden 23%
(Huh?  The exclusion of Chafee and O’Malley from the list causes Clinton voters to defect to Biden and Sanders?)

For some reason the 3-way has a much smaller sample size.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #88 on: October 09, 2015, 05:21:27 AM »
It seems like both Clinton and Trumps support has leveled off for now.
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jfern
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« Reply #89 on: October 09, 2015, 04:21:54 PM »
Wow, some major fall for Hillary.
Oct 4: 51.1%
Oct 9: 40.9%

We have
Clinton 40.9
Sanders 27.6
Biden 20.0
O' Malley 2.6
Chafee 1.1

Also, did they take Webb out?
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #90 on: October 09, 2015, 05:11:10 PM »
Yeah, not buying this.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #91 on: October 12, 2015, 02:16:31 AM »
We'll see if it is just a blip. I think the post debate polls will show a better picture of the race.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #92 on: October 12, 2015, 12:31:40 PM »
Bush is Back!
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #93 on: October 16, 2015, 08:03:46 PM »
They already have the 5-day rolling average that includes the 16th, so this poll is at least 60% post-Democratic debate:

link

Dems

Clinton 52% (+5)
Sanders 27% (+3)
Biden 14% (-4)
O’Malley 2% (no change)
Chafee 1% (no change)

[#s in parentheses are comparing to the last purely pre-debate #s.]

link

GOP

Trump 33%
Carson 16%
Bush 10%
Cruz 7%
Rubio 7%
Fiorina 4%
Huckabee 4%
Christie 4%
Paul 3%
Kasich 2%
Gilmore 1%
Santorum 1%
Jindal 1%
Graham 0%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #94 on: October 16, 2015, 08:39:59 PM »
Hillary and Bernie both up, Biden down. Makes sense. He better get in soon.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #95 on: October 16, 2015, 09:15:28 PM »
The tracker showing Clinton at 41% was obviously an anomaly.
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jfern
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« Reply #96 on: October 16, 2015, 09:22:47 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 16, 2015, 08:39:59 PM
Hillary and Bernie both up, Biden down. Makes sense. He better get in soon.

NBC has Biden down to 10%.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #97 on: October 20, 2015, 08:22:35 AM »
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/20/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN0SD2EJ20151020
Clinton 51%
Sanders 27%
Biden 13%

Its Reuters/Ipsos, Hillary up 10 from the last poll. Biden down 6.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #98 on: October 21, 2015, 12:28:41 AM »
In the tracking poll, Hillary's lead has decreased since the debate.

Oct 13:

Clinton 49.9
Sanders 22.6
Biden 16.3
O' Malley 1.3
Chafee 1.0

Oct 20:

Clinton 48.6
Sanders 25.9
Biden 14.5
O' Malley 1.0
Chafee 0.8
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #99 on: October 21, 2015, 12:33:06 AM »
Five day rolling average through Oct. 20:

link

Dems

Clinton 49%
Sanders 26%
Biden 15%
O’Malley 1%
Chafee 1%

link

GOP

Trump 33%
Carson 16%
Bush 10%
Rubio 6%
Cruz 6%
Fiorina 5%
Huckabee 4%
Kasich 3%
Paul 3%
Jindal 2%
Christie 2%
Gilmore 1%
Santorum 1%
Graham 1%
Pataki 0%
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