Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.

[DrScholl]

If Sanders wins the nomination, it's going to be a hilarious race, mark my words.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Full Poll:

Clinton 39
Sanders 31
Biden 16
O'Malley 2
Cuomo 2
Chafee 1
Gillibrand 1
Webb <1

What is it with this polling of Cuomo and Gillibrand?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Good things about this poll: It's great to see Sanders only 8 points down. Also, this is our first poll that is mostly post Labor day, although it does include Labor day.

Bad things: not the best pollster, and a little odd that it already includes today.

[Eraserhead]

Full Poll:

Clinton 39
Sanders 31
Biden 16
O'Malley 2
Cuomo 2
Chafee 1
Gillibrand 1
Webb <1

What is it with this polling of Cuomo and Gillibrand?

It's very stupid and their inclusion probably hurts Clinton's numbers slightly.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

With non-whites, it's

Clinton 42
Sanders 30
Biden 20

[Eraserhead]

With non-whites, it's

Clinton 42
Sanders 30
Biden 20

Trash it.

[Senator Cris]

Reuters will update their 5-day rolling data each day and so, if the mods are ok with it, this thread will be updated each day with the new numbers.

GOP (last update: September 8.)

Trump 35%
Carson 12%
Bush 7%
Walker 5%
Cruz 5%
Huckabee 5%
Rubio 4%
Christie 4%
Paul 3%
Kasich 3%
Fiorina 2%
Santorum 2%
Jindal 1%
Gilmore 0%
Pataki 0%

DEM (last update: September 11)

Clinton 39%
Sanders 31%
Biden 16%
O'Malley 2%
Chafee 1%
Webb 0%

[Senator Cris]

From the state-by-state filter, we can find some interesting numbers:

In California, Clinton leads Sanders 53-28. Biden gets 13.
In Florida, Clinton leads Biden 57-12. Sanders gets 8.
In Wisconsin, Clinton leads Sanders 42-40. Biden gets 11.

In Ohio, Kasich leads Trump 24-23.
In Texas, Trump leads Perry 21-16. Cruz gets 9 and performs worst than Bush and Kasich (both at 11)
In Florida, Trump leads Bush 40-31. Rubio gets 14.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Even though the tracking poll includes weekends, I guess they don't update it on weekends.

[Senator Cris]

New #s:

GOP (last update: September 15)

Trump 33%
Carson 16%
Bush 9%
Huckabee 6%
Christie 6%
Cruz 5%
Walker 4%
Rubio 4%
Kasich 2%
Paul 2%
Fiorina 2%
Santorum 2%
Jindal 1%

DEM (last update: September 15):

Clinton 46%
Sanders 27%
Biden 16%
Webb 1%

[Mr. Morden]

Oddly, they already have data for today (it’s still only early afternoon!).  It’s a 5-day rolling average, so most of the data is pre-debate, but you can compare the small movements since two days ago to get trends since the debate:

link

Trump 38% (+2.0% since Wednesday)
Carson 13% (-1.6%)
Bush 10% (+1.0%)
Huckabee 7% (no change)
Cruz 5% (+0.1%)
Christie 5% (-0.2%)
Fiorina 4% (+2.3%)
Walker 3% (-1.1%)
Paul 3% (+0.2%)
Rubio 2% (-0.4%)
Kasich 2% (+0.3%)
Santorum 1% (-0.3%)
Pataki 1% (+0.1%)
Jindal 1% (-0.5%)
Graham 0% (-0.1%)

[/]

Full Poll:

Clinton 39
Sanders 31
Biden 16
O'Malley 2
Cuomo 2
Chafee 1
Gillibrand 1
Webb <1

What is it with this polling of Cuomo and Gillibrand?

Because they're both obviously running, aren't they?

LOL @ Gillibrand challenging Hillary

[Lief 🗽]

Wow, Sanders has totally collapsed since last week in this poll. From only single digits behind Clinton to about twenty points behind!!

[Crumpets]

Wow, Sanders has totally collapsed since last week in this poll. From only single digits behind Clinton to about twenty points behind!!

Geez, and that's including Biden!

[Eraserhead]

Wow, Sanders has totally collapsed since last week in this poll. From only single digits behind Clinton to about twenty points behind!!

Geez, and that's including Biden!

Probably just moving out a bad simple.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Wow, Sanders has totally collapsed since last week in this poll. From only single digits behind Clinton to about twenty points behind!!

Geez, and that's including Biden!

Probably just moving out a bad simple.

I think it's hilarious that anti-Sanders posters are now hyping polls that include Biden where Sanders is at 25.2%. It's not too long ago that would have been considered an amazing poll for Sanders. As recently as August 27th, this daily tracking poll had never had Sanders that high.

[weixiaobao]

We got the first Reuters poll after the debate.

http://polling.reuters.com/#!response/TR130/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20150915-20150922/collapsed/false

30.8 Trump
18.9 Carson
8.4 Bush
7.2 Fiorina*
5.5 Rubio
5.2 Cruz
4.0 Huckabee
2.6 Paul
2.6 Christie
2.5 Kasich
2.4 Walker

*Fiorina went up a lot since her 2 to 3% average pre debate.  Yesterday she is at 8.6% but going down, I guess the latest news affect voters.
*Rubio and Carson have increase since the debate also.
*Trump had peak to his highest (36. and went down, but all happened during the transition meaning some days before and some days after the debate due to 5 days rolling.

[HillOfANight]

http://polling.reuters.com/#!response/TR130/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20150808-20150922/collapsed/false

Seems like Carson is "surging" thanks to his ignorant comments, Trump slipping.

[weixiaobao]

Seems like Carson is "surging" thanks to his ignorant comments, Trump slipping.

I posted the percentage already.

But what you are saying is half true.  What is true is that he will rise in the poll or maintain his spot for his comment.  And that, the big gap (of 3%) between 9/21 and 9/22 does show that.

The half false is that do you know how Reuters work?  It is 5 days rolling.  His Muslim spotlight comment was on the 20th of September.  Prior to 9/22 poll #, he already heading up (from like 13% to 16%).  And for the 9/22 #, what that meant is that # is the data collected 9/18 to 9/22.  Presumably most people wouldn't know too much about the comment until the 21st.  So the latest % is collected with 3 days when people don't know about it, and 2 days of falling out media coverage after the event.

If you actually want to know the impact of the comment, you will have to wait until 9/25 poll #. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Terrible news for GOP if TrumP is nominated. Good news for Dems because Dems have two candidates that can win.

Its TRUMP or Fiorina, who's casinos & compaq companies went into bankruptcy.

[Mr. Morden]

Here’s their last data release for last week (Sept. 19-23):

http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=14901

Democrats

Clinton 40%
Sanders 30%
Biden 15%
Cuomo 2%
O’Malley 2%
Chafee, Gillibrand, Webb 0%

3-way:

Clinton 40%
Sanders 32%
Biden 19%

GOP

Trump 30%
Carson 18%
Bush 10%
Fiorina 8%
Rubio 6%
Cruz 5%
Christie 3%
Huckabee 3%
Kasich 3%
Gilmore 2%
Paul 2%
Walker 2%
Jindal 1%
Santorum 1%
Graham, Pataki 0%

3-way:

Trump 37%
Carson 35%
Bush 25%

[Simfan34]

The reports of Trump's demise have been greatly exaggerated.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

The reports of Trump's demise have been greatly exaggerated.

Someone should create a thread to collect all of the TRUMP IS FINISHED posts. They have all been DEAD WRONG.

[Tender Branson]

Someone needs to shoot them for still including Cuomo and Gillibrand.

[Niemeyerite]

Here’s their last data release for last week (Sept. 19-23):


GOP

Christie 3%
Huckabee 3%
Kasich 3%
Gilmore 2%
Paul 2%
Walker 2%
Jindal 1%
Santorum 1%
Graham, Pataki 0%

It's happening!!!!