Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.
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Author Topic: Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.  (Read 48382 times)
bigedlb
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« Reply #275 on: January 19, 2016, 04:06:40 PM »
Weird error on website.   Dates after 1/15 seem incomplete.
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cxs018
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« Reply #276 on: January 19, 2016, 04:07:06 PM »
You can't ebb the Jeb.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #277 on: January 19, 2016, 04:15:04 PM »
Yea, it's no longer showing that error.
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Potus
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« Reply #278 on: January 19, 2016, 07:53:44 PM »
Not to sound conspiratorial or like a poll truther, but could this be evidence of pollsters continuing to change their results to resemble the polling averages? I know that was a fairly large controversies.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #279 on: January 22, 2016, 04:13:34 PM »


New Reuters Poll! Thank you!


Marco down to 5th!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #280 on: January 22, 2016, 04:14:09 PM »
Rubio in fifth! Beautiful!
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #281 on: January 22, 2016, 04:16:05 PM »
Man, I know this is a pretty sketchy poll, but if this is correct Cruz is completely in freefall.
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cxs018
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« Reply #282 on: January 22, 2016, 04:51:20 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on January 22, 2016, 04:49:51 PM
Quote from: Teddy Lee, Bass God of the West on January 22, 2016, 04:16:05 PM
Man, I know this is a pretty sketchy poll, but if this is correct Cruz is completely in freefall.

On the single day for 1/22, Jeb is now in 2nd with Trump at 45%...

Never mind. Junk poll.
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #283 on: January 22, 2016, 04:53:17 PM »
Quote from: Assemblyman CXSmith on January 22, 2016, 04:51:20 PM
Quote from: Skill and Chance on January 22, 2016, 04:49:51 PM
Quote from: Teddy Lee, Bass God of the West on January 22, 2016, 04:16:05 PM
Man, I know this is a pretty sketchy poll, but if this is correct Cruz is completely in freefall.

On the single day for 1/22, Jeb is now in 2nd with Trump at 45%...

Never mind. Junk poll.

45%?!?! Ugh. Whenever I see that he's that close to majority support, even in a junk poll, I throw up a little in my mouth.
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RFayette
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« Reply #284 on: January 22, 2016, 05:18:41 PM »
Sad Sad Sad Sad Sad

Please, stop Trump.  I'm so sick of this.

Any other candidate would be just fine with me.  Any of them!
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RFayette
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« Reply #285 on: January 22, 2016, 07:40:00 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on January 22, 2016, 05:36:38 PM
Quote from: MW Representative RFayette on January 22, 2016, 05:18:41 PM
Sad Sad Sad Sad Sad

Please, stop Trump.  I'm so sick of this.

Any other candidate would be just fine with me.  Any of them!

Are you going write-in for the general if Trump's the nominee?

I'd be tempted to vote for Clinton, to be honest.  No way for Sanders though.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #286 on: January 23, 2016, 05:01:42 AM »
Five day rolling average through Jan. 22:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20160118-20160122/type/day

Dems

Clinton 55%
Sanders 36%
O’Malley 3%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20160111-20160115/type/day

GOP

Trump 41%
Cruz 11%
Carson 10%
Bush 9%
Rubio 7%
Christie 5%
Paul 3%
Kasich 3%
Fiorina 3%
Huckabee 2%
Santorum 1%
Gilmore 0%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #287 on: January 31, 2016, 08:44:57 AM »
Five day rolling average through Jan. 29:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20160125-20160129/type/day

Dems

Clinton 50%
Sanders 40%
O’Malley 3%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20160125-20160129/type/day

GOP

Trump 42%
Cruz 13%
Carson 11%
Rubio 10%
Bush 7%
Paul 3%
Kasich 3%
Christie 2%
Fiorina 2%
Huckabee 2%
Santorum 1%
Gilmore 0%
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #288 on: February 04, 2016, 12:38:17 AM »
Uh, did Reuters not release polling numbers for today?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #289 on: February 06, 2016, 02:01:51 AM »
Conducted Feb. 2-5 following the Iowa caucus:

48% Hillary
45% Bernie

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSMTZSAPEC253J02S1
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #290 on: February 06, 2016, 02:09:04 AM »
Five day rolling average through Feb. 5:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20160201-20160205/type/day

Dems

Clinton 50%
Sanders 43%
O’Malley 1%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20160201-20160205/type/day

GOP

Trump 39%
Cruz 17%
Rubio 13%
Carson 8%
Bush 6%
Christie 4%
Kasich 3%
Fiorina 2%
Paul 1%
Huckabee 1%
Santorum, Gilmore 0%
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #291 on: February 06, 2016, 02:12:27 AM »
So, the numbers you posted were 5 days and the ones from the article only the last 4 days ?

Jan. 1 was a big Clinton day it seems and the dropoff made it closer.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #292 on: February 06, 2016, 02:17:44 AM »
The Clinton collapse continues.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #293 on: February 06, 2016, 03:23:36 PM »
Why are we not using the "Likely" voter filter for these results? It makes no sense to post polling numbers for people deemed to not be likely voters.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #294 on: February 06, 2016, 06:30:58 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on February 06, 2016, 03:23:36 PM
Why are we not using the "Likely" voter filter for these results? It makes no sense to post polling numbers for people deemed to not be likely voters.



Could do so, as primary day is getting close in most of the country now.  Though the sample appears to be tiny with LVs, so MoE is huge.  Looks like for the Dems, the sample of likely voters is only about 200.
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cxs018
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« Reply #295 on: February 06, 2016, 07:14:54 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on February 06, 2016, 03:23:36 PM
Why are we not using the "Likely" voter filter for these results? It makes no sense to post polling numbers for people deemed to not be likely voters.



I say we post sets of numbers both with and without the 'likely' filter.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #296 on: February 11, 2016, 04:30:31 PM »
« Edited: February 11, 2016, 04:38:29 PM by yankeesfan »
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/2016ReutersTrackingPolitical21016.pdf

Ipsos/Reuters national poll (Feb. 6-10)

Trump 35 (-1)
Cruz 23 (+7)
Rubio 14 (0)
Carson 11 (+3)
Bush 7 (0)
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #297 on: February 11, 2016, 04:46:34 PM »
Quote from: Castro on February 11, 2016, 04:45:33 PM
Clinton - 46% (-9)
Sanders - 44% (+1)

Timber!
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cinyc
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« Reply #298 on: February 11, 2016, 04:47:15 PM »
Your results are just of Republicans.  If you include Independents, which some states allow to vote in primaries, it's:

Trump 32%
Cruz 19%
Carson 11%
Rubio 11%
Bush 7%
Christie 3%
Kasich 2%
Fiorina 2%
Wouldn't Vote 12%

It's a poll of 737 registered voters, taken from February 6-10.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #299 on: February 11, 2016, 04:52:04 PM »
The change since last poll numbers I added were actually incorrect, my bad. It's actually:

Clinton - 46% (-1)
Sanders - 44% (+6)

Also, these include Independents.
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