Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.

[Fusionmunster]

Ipsos online is rated at C+ by fivethirtyeight, so slightly more reliable than gravis. Both Hillary and Bernies movements btw are within the margin of error from there last three polls.

[Fusionmunster]

http://ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=14934
Well, Hillary actually leads by 21%....
Dems:
Clinton- 46%
Sanders- 25%
Biden- 19%
Chafee- 1%
Cuomo(?)- 1%
Gillibrand(??)- 1%
O'Malley - 1%
Webb - 0%

Republicans:
Trump- 32%
Carson- 12%
Bush- 10%   
Fiorina- 8%   
Paul- 7%   
Rubio- 7%
Christie- 5%   
Cruz- 5%   
Huckabee- 3%      
Santorum- 2%   
Gilmore- 1%   
Jindal- 1%   
Kasich- 1%   
Pataki- 0%   
Graham- 0%   
   

[Fusionmunster]

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/20/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN0SD2EJ20151020
Clinton 51%
Sanders 27%
Biden 13%

Its Reuters/Ipsos, Hillary up 10 from the last poll. Biden down 6.

[Fusionmunster]

The lead narrows by 14 points in just one week.

Nov. 3
Clinton 59.0
Sanders 26.5
O'Malley 5.4

Nov. 10
Clinton 51.8
Sanders  33.3
O'Malley 3.6

It's NOT happening, remember when Clinton was down in the 40s in this poll? She spiked back up.

That was with Biden. This is the lowest she's been since they removed Biden.

Your really grasping at straws.

[Fusionmunster]

Wow, 2 polls today with Hillary under 50%. NBC was the other one.

Nov 20.
Clinton 48.9
Sanders 34.0
O'Malley 3.7

The Republican side is much less close.
Trump 38.8
Carson 14.3
Rubio 11.1
Cruz 7.4
Bush 6.3
Paul 5.1
Huckabee 2.8
Fiornia 2.5
Christie 2.5
Kasich 2.5
Santorum 1.1
Jindal 0.5
Graham 0.5
Pataki 0.4
Gilmore 0.2


The are the 3 closest Democratic polls without Biden
This Reuter poll 49-34
IBD/TIPP poll from a couple weeks ago 49-34
NBC poll release today 49-33

Yeah, Wow...
I'll make sure to post when shes back up into the mid-50s by the middle of next week. Just like 10 days ago, the movement in these polls make them hard to take seriously.

[Fusionmunster]

The tracking poll has different numbers. They're as of the 24th, and
Clinton 54.0
Sanders 34.0
O'Malley 4.6

Sample size is smaller than usual, 383.

Ipsos=/=Daily Tracking poll.

Im not sure why we have one thread for both of them since its two different pollsters. Ipsos is the better pollster according to fivethirtyeights ratings btw.

[Fusionmunster]

Look what happens when you turn off the Democratic filter.

Sanders 34.0
Clinton 32.0
O'Malley 6.0

LOL. Of course Bernie isn't actually ahead.

Uhmm....

I hate to break it to you, but this is the democratic primary. I.E a majority of the people voting in it will be democrats. And when I remove the filter it becomes this:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/dates/20151123-20151127/type/day

And when I filter it to only Republicans and Independents I get this:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:3|2

Neither show him ahead.

[Fusionmunster]

Look what happens when you turn off the Democratic filter.

Sanders 34.0
Clinton 32.0
O'Malley 6.0

LOL. Of course Bernie isn't actually ahead.

Please, stop it. This poll is nonsense, of course, you were happy to champion it when goes rogue, but no one should take a poll this jumpy seriously.

I guess no one read the bolded sentence.

We all assumed you were being sarcastic.

[Fusionmunster]

Sanders within 15%? Has that ever happened before post-Biden?

Yeah, like two weeks ago.

Then Hillary opened up a 30 point lead 6 days later.

[Fusionmunster]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 4:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151130-20151204/type/day

Dems

Clinton 56%
Sanders 32%
O’Malley 4%

So much for Bernie's bump.

Reuters really seems to enjoy toying with the Sandernistas.

It's almost funny, if it weren't so sad. Every time Sanders is within 15%, they're all here, but then a few days later she's back to a 25%+ lead.

You have to click on day for the 5 day average. These are the correct results for Dec. 4.
Clinton 51.9
Sanders 35.5
O'Malley 4.1

Thus confirming Reuters is even more of a joke.

I'm not sure if it was a bug. But these seem to be the correct result. It might have been choosing some other time period before.

Anyways, this is the only post Thanksgiving weekend national poll we have so far.

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TR131/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20150901-20151204/collapsed/false/spotlight/1

This is what I get. Regardless, the website is awfull since the redesign and combined with the fact that they're a pretty awfull pollster in general(C from fivethirtyeight and wild swings), it makes me wish I could just ignore them completely. However, you make a big deal about any slight movement in Bernies favor and then vanish when Hillary opens up a 28 point lead. Its hard to take your input in this thread seriously.

[Fusionmunster]

Hillary had a 27 point lead last week and 28 point lead a week or so before that. Jfern, if you dont get it I was referring to the 28 point lead in past and more than likely future tense.

[Fusionmunster]

Oh Jfern, I've got something to show you...

[Fusionmunster]

Clinton: 55
Sanders: 43

Those numbers only include Democrats.

No, those are the actual Ipsos numbers.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/ipsos-reuters-23740