Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread)
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  Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread)
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Author Topic: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread)  (Read 233033 times)
platypeanArchcow
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« Reply #500 on: September 05, 2015, 07:03:42 PM »

I was in the Jewish part near Bathurst a couple weeks ago, saw one Mendicino sign in a sea of Joe Olivers.  I even saw some Joe Oliver signs in the less well-off parts west of Allen Road.  It's kind of hard to get anything from such small samples, but maybe if you compare where you were with The Map...

It's been fun biking around my new city and seeing all the lawn signs pop up everywhere. I don't think places in the States are this into lawn signs, not where I've lived anyway.
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cp
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« Reply #501 on: September 06, 2015, 11:23:17 AM »

Yeah, Canada's kind of the paragon for using election signs. I like it more than the subdued ways they're used here in the UK.

Perhaps that will change, though, as online campaigning becomes more important.
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King of Kensington
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« Reply #502 on: September 06, 2015, 03:06:21 PM »

I was in the Jewish part near Bathurst a couple weeks ago, saw one Mendicino sign in a sea of Joe Olivers. 

That's not surprising.  The middle section of Eglinton-Lawrence is a predominantly Orthodox Jewish community that votes as a bloc.  The real area to watch is North Toronto where a lot of affluent professionals (including a good number of more liberal-secular Jews) live.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #503 on: September 06, 2015, 08:43:01 PM »

I really have nothing to add here other than WTF.
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Vega
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« Reply #504 on: September 06, 2015, 08:45:41 PM »

What has been the best station to watch the election results on? CBC?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #505 on: September 06, 2015, 08:48:29 PM »

CBC. There are US sites which get results before the embargo is lifted, I don't know their ID however.
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the506
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« Reply #506 on: September 06, 2015, 09:17:46 PM »

There's no embargo anymore. One of the *good* effects of the "Fair" Elections Act.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #507 on: September 07, 2015, 08:14:10 AM »


LOL

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #508 on: September 07, 2015, 11:08:20 AM »

Another Toronto Tory candidate fired for something NSFW.
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DL
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« Reply #509 on: September 07, 2015, 12:42:38 PM »

I think more Conservative candidate may soon be fired - several have been exposed as having ties to fanatical anti-gay hate groups.
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politicus
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« Reply #510 on: September 07, 2015, 01:16:08 PM »

I think more Conservative candidate may soon be fired - several have been exposed as having ties to fanatical anti-gay hate groups.

Who?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #511 on: September 07, 2015, 02:29:22 PM »


FF

Also:

“He must be someone who is adept at Stephen Harper’s trickle-down theory of economics,” Mulcair said.
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cp
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« Reply #512 on: September 07, 2015, 03:05:41 PM »

I think more Conservative candidate may soon be fired - several have been exposed as having ties to fanatical anti-gay hate groups.

Who?

Probably this lady
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #513 on: September 07, 2015, 03:08:02 PM »

I think more Conservative candidate may soon be fired - several have been exposed as having ties to fanatical anti-gay hate groups.

Who?

Yes. Name names and link articles.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #514 on: September 07, 2015, 03:55:46 PM »

Who vetted Toronto candidates?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #515 on: September 07, 2015, 04:24:48 PM »


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Krago
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« Reply #516 on: September 07, 2015, 05:58:51 PM »

Here's the weekly poll update:

Election (May 2, 2011) / Abacus (Aug 26-28) / EKOS (Aug 26-Sep 1) / Forum (Aug 30-Sep 1) / Leger (Aug 31- Sep 2)

Canada2011AbacusEKOSForumLeger
Cons
39.6
30
29.5
24
28
NDP
30.6
31
30.2
36
31
Lib
18.9
28
27.7
32
30
BQ
6.1
3
4.2
4
4
Green
3.9
7
6.4
4
5

Atlantic2011AbacusEKOSForumLeger
Cons
37.9
19
21.4
16
26
NDP
29.5
31
26.9
40
31
Lib
29.3
47
39.5
41
37
Green
3.0
2
10.1
2
5

Quebec2011AbacusEKOSForumLeger
Cons
16.5
13
17.0
22
13
NDP
42.9
44
41.8
43
46
Lib
14.2
23
18.3
18
20
BQ
23.4
13
17.2
14
18
Green
2.1
5
4.4
3
2

Ontario2011AbacusEKOSForumLeger
Cons
44.4
33
32.0
21
28
NDP
25.6
26
26.8
32
27
Lib
25.3
34
33.6
42
37
Green
3.8
7
6.1
4
6

Man/Sask2011AbacusEKOSForumLeger
Cons
54.9
43
27
43
NDP
28.9
22
34
19
Lib
12.7
30
35
34
Green
3.1
3
3
4

Manitoba2011AbacusEKOSForumLeger
Cons
53.5
29.1
NDP
25.8
15.2
Lib
16.6
45.3
Green
3.6
8.1

Sask.2011AbacusEKOSForumLeger
Cons
56.3
47.1
NDP
32.3
29.3
Lib
8.5
15.7
Green
2.6
6.4

Alberta2011AbacusEKOSForumLeger
Cons
66.8
53
47.4
45
56
NDP
16.8
26
23.6
30
18
Lib
9.3
15
20.2
20
18
Green
5.2
3
4.6
3
5

B.C.2011AbacusEKOSForumLeger
Cons
45.6
32
30.9
24
25
NDP
32.5
31
31.1
37
30
Lib
13.4
20
24.8
31
35
Green
7.7
15
10.8
7
11
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #517 on: September 07, 2015, 09:02:35 PM »
« Edited: September 07, 2015, 09:13:20 PM by RogueBeaver »

Transcript of Mansbridge's Harper interview. Trudeau's airs tomorrow, Mulcair's Wednesday.

Nanos tracking: 33/31/26.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #518 on: September 07, 2015, 10:33:41 PM »

Fife reported that Tory insiders are complaining about Byrne running a rudderless, crap campaign. I hope the complainers have their own alternatives and are expressing them in strategy sessions.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #519 on: September 08, 2015, 01:13:10 AM »
« Edited: September 08, 2015, 01:27:12 AM by Adam T »

Fife reported that Tory insiders are complaining about Byrne running a rudderless, crap campaign. I hope the complainers have their own alternatives and are expressing them in strategy sessions.

This is my alternative: Tell Sleazy Stevie to tell the truth one single f-ing time. Who knows once it does it the first time it may even become a habit for it as it may decide that since it's going to lose, it should at least lose while gaining a modicum of dignity.

Roguebeaver, you yourself are a decent guy but everytime I see the picture of that thing you use for your avatar, it literally makes me sick.

Fortunately it's no longer going to be Prime Minister in around 2 months.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #520 on: September 08, 2015, 01:25:06 AM »

More evidence the criminal Conservative Administration is about to be consigned to the dust bin of history where it belongs.

Latest Nanos poll:
NDP 32.7%
Liberal 30.8%
Conservative 26.2%

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/support-for-conservatives-dips-on-response-to-migrant-crisis-poll-shows/article26246364/

No regional breakdown yet or numbers for the Greens or Bloc.

In a different article, This poll reported that the number of Canadians who would even consider voting Conservative is now down to slightly over 36%.

The fat lady is getting warmed up.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #521 on: September 08, 2015, 01:45:36 AM »

Fife reported that Tory insiders are complaining about Byrne running a rudderless, crap campaign. I hope the complainers have their own alternatives and are expressing them in strategy sessions.

Well, they are right. The Tory campaign seems to be damage control since the bginning of Duffy's trial.

Duffy, refugees, candidates doing/saying dumb things... They are unable to get beyond that for now.
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adma
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« Reply #522 on: September 08, 2015, 07:07:59 AM »

Well, as I've said all along: that's what you get when you let your campaign get run by the brainiacs behind Sun News--and who still feel that Sun News' failure was an "outside fix"...
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Krago
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« Reply #523 on: September 08, 2015, 07:15:14 AM »

2014 Ontario Provincial Election: Lib 39 PC 31 NDP 24 Green 5

Nanos Poll (Sept 4-6) Ontario: Lib 38 Cons 32 NDP 25 Green 5
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lilTommy
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« Reply #524 on: September 08, 2015, 09:05:33 AM »

Manitoba NDP MLA Erin Selby confirms she will resign her seat to run federally in St Boniface-St Vital.

The initial reaction from at least one political scientist is that this would hurt Liberal Dan Vandal who is likely the front runner for this riding, but I'm not so sure.  In addition to being controversial among New Democrats for her having been a member of the Gang of Five, she was also regarded by many Manitobans as a completely incompetent Health Minister.

My guess right now is that she will actually do less well than a no name New Democrat would have done.

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/09/04/former-manitoba-health-minister-running-for-federal-ndp-seat_n_8088762.html

What Selby has going for her is that she was a member of the Gang of five, that she has a not-so-good relationship with a premier who is not that popular. Her MNDP support is coming from the likes of Swan and Oswald, all known for speaking out against Sellinger. Plus the big name recognition which always adds a few points to the race. Selby holds a riding in the south of the Federal one, which went mostly CPC, while the Liberal Support was concentrated in Boniface, held by the Premier... If Selby can pull the votes she her own riding riding and win over provincial NDP voters, she can win. But this traditional Liberal riding, just became a three-way fight. Selby is not favoured, but she can't be counted out.
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