Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread)

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

Honestly, I would be very shocked if by the time votes are counted, the NDP is not on top by a decent margin or in a majority government. Stephen Harper is just too unpopular to soak up much additional support (if he has any room to grow at all), and center-left/anti-Harper vote will coalesce around the NDP in the final weeks once it becomes clear that the Liberals just don't have the chops to take down Harper, and even if they did they're not different enough from Harper to enact the substantive change Canadians are looking for (especially after all that C-51 nonsense). The NDP is no longer that little lefty third party floating around on the edges, it's proven it could be a serious party of government between it's surge in 2011, it's performance in opposition, and finally with it's victory in conservative Alberta, so many Canadians who were fearful of leaving the Liberals because of their larger experience may now very well feel ready to defect to the NDP.

Though of course, if the CPC shovels mountains of money into this and the others can't even come close to keeping pace, then the calculus could easily change.

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

As someone without much knowledge on Canada police car can someone tell me the parties from most to least conservqtive?

I'm assuming you mean "Canadian politics", and though I might not be the most knowledgable, I could certainly fill you in.

Most conservative:
Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) - standard right-wing party, perhaps not as right-wing as the US Republicans but to the right of European conservatives, has held power since 2006 but did not win a majority in Parliament until 2011 (after another election produced another minority Conservative government in 2008), currently polling about 10 points lower than its 2011 totals, definitely feeling the pressure of "Harper fatigue" after nearly 10 years in power.
Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) - centrist "natural governing party", has ruled Canada for most of its independent history, most recently having won an election in 2004 (albeit with a minority government), currently the 3rd party after the rise of the NDP in 2011 and appears poised to maintain that position, but with significant gains.
New Democratic Party (NDP) - center-left to left-wing social democrats, historically the 3rd party but rose to Official Opposition in 2011 after riding the "orange wave", currently leading the polls and poised to become the largest party in Parliament for the first time in history.
Bloc Quebecois (BQ) - socialist party advocating independence for Quebec, previously held most Quebec seats in Parliament but was reduced to just 4 in 2011 (thanks to the orange wave), and inner turmoil since 2011 and tiredness with the separatist cause in general appears set to demolish the party once and for all.
Green Party - standard greenies, probably going to keep their 1 seat in BC but not expand much elsewhere.
Least Conservative

If anyone more well-versed notices any mistakes or such please feel free to correct me.

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

CEO of Mainstreet Polling says it will be a Liberal majority https://twitter.com/quito_maggi/status/654113484729282560

RIP the NDP

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

Looks like the jig is up for the Tories: Lynton Crosby's jumping ship at the home stretch.
http://thinkpol.ca/2015/10/15/lynton-crosby-abandons-harper/