Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread)

[Phony Moderate]

......................................

[Phony Moderate]

So bringing back that old guy isn't working out?

[Phony Moderate]

Isn't this the most Jewish riding? I thought most Canadian Jews were Conservative?

Back in his day Trudeau the Elder tended to get hilariously large majorities there. I suspect the sharp rise in the Tory vote over the past decade (going from 9% in 2004 to 36% in 2011) largely comes from the Jewish community and Harper's emphasis on foreign policy and so on.

[Phony Moderate]

So this is shaping up to be a repeat of the last Ontario election i.e. the Liberals cleverly convincing enough people that they are the real progressive/leftie choice?

[Phony Moderate]

Why's the NDP hemorrhaging?

Because they were leading at the beginning of the campaign. Had the Liberals been leading then, the NDP would now be the ones surging. This is Canada, remember.

[Phony Moderate]

the riding polls could be junk

That would be unusual!

[Phony Moderate]

What will the next four years be like if it's a Liberal majority with an NDP opposition?

[Phony Moderate]

What will the next four years be like if it's a Liberal majority with an NDP opposition?

the CPC will be in opposition, not the NDP

Though, as pointed out on the previous page, if those riding polls turn out to be accurate...

[Phony Moderate]

Looks like the jig is up for the Tories: Lynton Crosby's jumping ship at the home stretch.
http://thinkpol.ca/2015/10/15/lynton-crosby-abandons-harper/

What a cowardly little sh**t.

[Phony Moderate]

They are still heading for their second-best result in history, though.

[Phony Moderate]

The NDP has a tendency to under perform compared to the polls, doesn't it?

[Phony Moderate]

Bah, won't be getting much sleep tonight and tomorrow is a mildly important day...oh well.