Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread)

[RedPrometheus]

There seems to be an unmistakable decline in the relative position of NDP.  This might be bad news for CPC as now there might be more pro-LPC tactical voting, especially in places like ON.   

The shift in the polls last few days seems to be working exactly as what I thought it would.  CPC getting the lead at the expense of NDP turned out to be working mostly in favor of LPC.

I think der LPC is now consolidating the anti-Harper vote, so the NDP might drop even further until election day.

[RedPrometheus]

So if someone just woke up from a 3 week coma, and wants to know why the Conservatives had a solid lead, and now there's talk of a Liberal Majority, what would you tell them?

1) There was never a solid Tory lead. The best we managed was around 2-3%

2) The NDP pooped the bed by running to the center when progressive voters wanted a shift to the left after Harper. This allowed Trudeau to consolidate the anti-Harper vote somewhat.

The Tories also ran a lackluster campaign and overplayed on the niqab which didn't help them.

Although I followed the election somewhat I don't get the niqab issue. Why is it so important? Why did it hurt the NDP in Quebec? And why didn't it hurt the LPC as well?