Electoral-Vote.com is back

[Phony Moderate]

As in a post has been made for the first time since last year. The Votemaster's analysis is enjoyable and usually spot on.

http://www.electoral-vote.com

[Cory]

They still have to 2012 election results as their map. Although I guess to be fair they don't exactly have too much polling data to deal with for the general right now.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

The Votemaster is excellent and an entertaining read. I do hope that Tanenbaum hands off the baton when he's no longer able to keep up with the site. 

[Landslide Lyndon]

Great news!

[Panhandle Progressive]

I'm glad the site is operational again. I've been reading it since shortly after it launched in the summer of 2004. Here are his predictions for the last three presidential elections:

2004 - https://web.archive.org/web/20041102092512/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

2008 - https://web.archive.org/web/20081104061933/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

2012 - https://web.archive.org/web/20121103053725/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Although the snapshot for 2012 is a bit before election day his final prediction was that Obama would win with 294 EV's.

[Donald Trump 2016 !]

I'm glad the site is operational again. I've been reading it since shortly after it launched in the summer of 2004. Here are his predictions for the last three presidential elections:

2004 - https://web.archive.org/web/20041102092512/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

2008 - https://web.archive.org/web/20081104061933/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

2012 - https://web.archive.org/web/20121103053725/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Although the snapshot for 2012 is a bit before election day his final prediction was that Obama would win with 294 EV's.

So in 2012 he thought Obama would carry Iowa, Ohio, Virginia and Romney would carry Colorado, Florida, and North Carolina?

If that's the case then he only got two states wrong: Colorado and Florida.

In 2008 he got only Indiana and Nebraska's delegate split wrong.

2004 was his first time predicting so I can't fault him for that.


Pretty accurate predictions. Definitely gonna bookmark this site.

[Joe Biden 2020]

I've always liked his analysis and like an earlier poster, I have been following it every cycle since 2004.  I even follow it during the midterm cycles.  I just read his analysis and he is pretty much spot on like usual.  I can't wait for him to update his maps and I do hope he starts posting regularly especially as we get closer to Iowa.

Thank you to the OP for reminding me of his site.  I hadn't looked at it since the midterms and I almost forgot.  I'm sure I would have remembered eventually, but thank you.

[Simfan34]

It will be interesting to see whether or not his point about money allowing for longer primaries will be proven true.

[Joe Biden 2020]

It will be interesting to see whether or not his point about money allowing for longer primaries will be proven true.

I thought that was an interesting piece, too.  I do agree with him, though, that it very well could lead to a long and bitter primary season.  That and the fact there are 16 candidates to sift through.

[Vega]

I'm glad the site is operational again. I've been reading it since shortly after it launched in the summer of 2004. Here are his predictions for the last three presidential elections:

2004 - https://web.archive.org/web/20041102092512/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

2008 - https://web.archive.org/web/20081104061933/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

2012 - https://web.archive.org/web/20121103053725/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Although the snapshot for 2012 is a bit before election day his final prediction was that Obama would win with 294 EV's.

Yikes. He really messed up 2004, sadly.

Hawaii for Bush? I know it was close, but...

[Phony Moderate]

I'm glad the site is operational again. I've been reading it since shortly after it launched in the summer of 2004. Here are his predictions for the last three presidential elections:

2004 - https://web.archive.org/web/20041102092512/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

2008 - https://web.archive.org/web/20081104061933/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

2012 - https://web.archive.org/web/20121103053725/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Although the snapshot for 2012 is a bit before election day his final prediction was that Obama would win with 294 EV's.

Yikes. He really messed up 2004, sadly.

Hawaii for Bush? I know it was close, but...

That was on election eve. This was actually his on the day 2004 prediction: https://web.archive.org/web/20041102182451/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Btw, the site's history can be searched using Google without the need for the Internet Wayback Machine.

[Joe Biden 2020]

I'm glad the site is operational again. I've been reading it since shortly after it launched in the summer of 2004. Here are his predictions for the last three presidential elections:

2004 - https://web.archive.org/web/20041102092512/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

2008 - https://web.archive.org/web/20081104061933/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

2012 - https://web.archive.org/web/20121103053725/http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Although the snapshot for 2012 is a bit before election day his final prediction was that Obama would win with 294 EV's.

Yikes. He really messed up 2004, sadly.

Hawaii for Bush? I know it was close, but...

In 2004 and 2008 early on he had Oklahoma going for Kerry and Obama.  We all know what happened with Oklahoma...

[DS0816]

No election forecaster has delivered more entertainment than Dick Morris.

[hurricanehink]

Awesome! This was the first electoral blog I ever followed, starting back in early 2008. Love the analyses and stories.

[pbrower2a]

In 2008 I got Missouri and North Carolina wrong -- the difference was that Nader won more votes in Missouri than in North Carolina, and Barr won more votes in North Carolina than in Missouri. 

EV got only Indiana (which I got right) and NE-02 wrong, which is better than I did.

Safe prediction: if the Republican nominee wins Indiana by less than 10%, then the Democrat wins nationwide.