2015 Canadian federal election-Official Predictions Thread Competition

[Jahiegel]

I submitted mine--or thought that I had, at least!--late last week, and yet I see no trace of them in the thread; I can only imagine that, being half-asleep in the wee hours of the day, I managed to fail actually to click "post".  I'd e-mailed myself a copy (pre-formatting, natch, which means that I got to re-add all the delightful tags just now), so I shall try again; my final numbers fade the NDP a bit more than these, but it's only fair that I post what I'd intended to--and, indeed, thought I had--some days ago.

Summary
Popular vote winner: Liberal (37.2%)
Most seats winner: Liberal (143 seats)

Battleground seats
St. John's South—Mount Pearl - LPC
Central Nova - LPC
Laurier—Sainte-Marie - NDP
Mount Royal - LPC
Spadina—Fort York - NDP
Eglinton—Lawrence - LPC
Beaches—East York - LPC
Toronto Centre - LPC
Mississauga—Malton - LPC
Sudbury - NDP
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa - CPC
Regina—Lewvan - CPC
Lethbridge - CPC
Edmonton Centre - LPC
Edmonton Griesbach - NDP
St. Albert—Edmonton - CPC
Calgary Centre - LPC
Delta - LPC
South Surrey—White Rock - LPC
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam - CPC
North Vancouver - LPC
Vancouver South - LPC
Vancouver Granville - LPC
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country - LPC
North Island—Powell River - NDP    
Victoria - NDP

Other pickups
CPC: Charlesbourg—Haute-Sainte-Charles, Jonquière, Louis-Saint-Laurent, Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup, Richmond—Arthabaska

LPC: Cumberland—Colchester, Egmont, Fredericton, Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe, South Shore—St. Margaret’s (I may or may not, in my abiding laziness, simply have taken the first five LPC pickups from my [roughly] geographically-ordered list)

NDP: Courtenay—Alberni, Port Moody—Coquitlam, South Okanagan—West Kootenay, somewhere in Saskatchewan (perhaps Saskatoon—Grasswood or Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, although I’m not officially guessing either)

Comprehensive projection
Party standings (national)
LPC—143 seats (37.2 per cent)
CPC—112 seats (31.0 per cent)
NDP—79 seats (22.1 per cent)
BQ—3 seats (4.6 per cent)
GPC—1 seat (4.1 per cent)
SiD—0 seats (0.3 per cent)
Other and independents—0 seats (0.7 per cent)

Regional results
Territories: LPC—2 seats (41.4 per cent), NDP—1 seat (21.7 per cent), CPC—0 seats (29.0 per cent)
Maritimes: LPC—26 seats (53.1 per cent), CPC—3 seats (22.7 per cent), NDP—3 seats (20.0 per cent)
Québec: NDP—40 seats (28.7 per cent), LPC—24 seats (30.1 per cent), CPC—11 seats (17.9 per cent), BQ—3 seats (19.5 per cent)
Ontario: LPC—68 seats (43.6 per cent), CPC—38 seats (32.4 per cent), NDP—15 seats (19.3 per cent)
Prairies: CPC—17 seats (44.1 per cent), LPC—6 seats (29.4 per cent), NDP—5 seats (23.3 per cent)
Alberta: CPC—29 seats (55.3 per cent), LPC—4 seats (24.1 per cent), NDP—1 seat (14.9 per cent)
British Columbia: CPC—14 seats (30.5 per cent), NDP—14 seats (28.1 per cent), LPC—13 seats (32.3 per cent), GPC—1 seat (8.5 per cent)