2015 Canadian federal election-Official Predictions Thread Competition (user search)
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  2015 Canadian federal election-Official Predictions Thread Competition (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2015 Canadian federal election-Official Predictions Thread Competition  (Read 14891 times)
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,040


« on: August 04, 2015, 05:46:36 PM »

Do Accurate Predictions get greater weight if called earlier in the Campaign.  Otherwise it seems silly to put on up now.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,040


« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2015, 01:24:42 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2015, 01:51:36 PM by King of Kensington »

St. John's South—Mount Pearl- Liberal
Central Nova- Liberal
Laurier—Sainte-Marie- NDP
Mount Royal- Liberal
Spadina—Fort York- Liberal
Eglinton—Lawrence- Liberal
Beaches—East York- Liberal
Toronto Centre- Liberal
Mississauga—Malton- Liberal
Sudbury- NDP
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa- Conservative
Regina—Lewvan- NDP
Lethbridge- Conservative
Edmonton Centre- Liberal (wild guess, probably "should" be Conservative)
Edmonton Griesbach- NDP
St. Albert—Edmonton- Conservative
Calgary Centre- Liberal
Delta- Conservative
South Surrey—White Rock- Conservative
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam- NDP
North Vancouver- Liberal
Vancouver South- Liberal
Vancouver Granville- Liberal
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country- Liberal
North Island—Powell River- NDP
Victoria- NDP

Some pickups:

Liberals - LaSalle-Emard-Verdun, Pontiac, Burlington, Sault Ste. Marie, Fleetwood-Port Kells

Conservatives - Portneuf-Jacques Cartier, Louis Saint Laurent, Beauport-Cote de Beaupre

NDP - Essex

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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,040


« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2015, 01:39:47 PM »

Liberals  134
Conservatives  112
NDP  87
Bloc  4
Greens  1
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,040


« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2015, 03:56:25 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2015, 08:02:05 PM by King of Kensington »

Liberals  134
Conservatives  112
NDP  87
Bloc  4
Greens  1

Atlantic

Liberals  25
Conservatives  4
NDP  3

Quebec

NDP  43
Liberals  20
Conservatives  11
Bloc  4

Ontario

Liberals  68
Conservatives  36
NDP  17

Prairies

Conservatives  46
Liberals  10
NDP  6

BC

NDP  16
Conservatives  15
Liberals  10
Greens  1

The North

Liberals  2
NDP  1

ETA: Small revision as I forgot to change 1 Montreal area seat from NDP to Liberal.  So my prediction is:

Liberals  135
Conservatives  112
NDP  86
BQ  4
Greens  1


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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,040


« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2015, 09:36:21 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2015, 09:43:32 PM by King of Kensington »

Some other predictions - curious to hear those of others

Dartmouth-Cole Harbour NS  (Liberal)
Acadie-Bathurst NB (Liberal)
Avignon-La Mitis-Matan-Matapedia QC (Liberal but really no clue)
Pontiac QC (Liberal)
Laval-Les-Iles QC (Liberal)
LaSalle-Emard-Verdun QC (Liberal)
Bay of Quinte ON (Conservative)
Northumberland-Peterborough South ON (Conservative)
Whitby ON (Liberal)
Newmarket-Aurora ON (Liberal)
University-Rosedale ON (Liberal)
Parkdale-High Park ON (NDP)
St. Catharines ON (Liberal)
Brantford-Brant ON (Liberal)
Essex ON (NDP)
Sault Ste. Marie ON (Liberal)
Elmwood-Transcona MB (Conservative)
Saskatoon-Grasswood SK (Conservative)
Saskatoon-University SK (Conservative)
Calgary Centre AB (Liberal)
Calgary Confederation AB (Liberal)
Edmonton Centre AB (Liberal)
Edmonton-Mill Woods AB (Liberal)
Cariboo-Prince George BC (Conservative)
Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge BC (Conservative)
Steveston-Richmond East BC (Liberal)
Delta BC (Conservative)

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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,040


« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2015, 05:12:28 PM »

Here's my revised (and final) prediction.  Was too generous to the NDP in BC.

Liberals  137
Conservatives  114
NDP  82
Bloc  4
Greens  1

Newfoundland and Labrador

Liberals  6
NDP  1

PEI

Liberals  4

Nova Scotia

Liberals  9
NDP  2

New Brunswick

Liberals  6
Conseratives  4

Quebec

NDP  43
Liberals  20
Conservatives  11
Bloc  4

Ontario

Liberals  68
Conservatives  37
NDP  16

Manitoba

Conservatives  8
Liberals  4
NDP  2

Saskatchewan 

Conservatives  11
NDP  2
Liberals  1

Alberta

Conservatives  27
Liberals  5
NDP  2

BC 

Conservatives  16
NDP  13
Liberals  12
Greens  1

Liberals win Nunavut and Yukon, NDP the Northwest Territories.
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