Collage Football prediction megathread

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I concur on Dak Prescott for Heisman. I bet Mississippi State as National Champs in Vegas because of him!

TCU at Minnesota - Easy money even against the spread. They'll win by at least 14, maybe 20. Boykin's got to prove the haters wrong (though I think someone will stop them this year, possibly Baylor)
Washington at Boise State - Easy money even against the spread. At least 14. UW is down.
Virginia at UCLA - Solid bet against the spread. I'd feel comfortable in a 17 point victory to at least push. UCLA will be improved.
Louisville vs Auburn - I'd probably take the spread on this, but cautiously hedge with a straight up bet too. Auburn will be top 4 in a crowded SEC West.
Arizona State at Texas A&M - Very very tough one because A&M's defense is full of studs. I think they will surprise in the SEC West, but ASU may very well win the Pac-12.
Wisconsin vs Alabama
Ohio State at Virgina Tech - As much as I'll be rooting for Tech, I can't.

Upset? Does Nova over UConn count? I think Nova's a slight favorite offshore IIRC though. (I guess that's a good thing...)
Is there a minimum spread on a dawg pick? For this week, I'll just go big and confidently take Sam Houston State over Texas Tech.

Three other teams I think are underdogs that I'll mention though: South Dakota St over Kansas; Northern Arizona over Stephen F. Austin; and a real longshot imo - Temple over Penn State. I'd consider betting all of those straight-up, albeit also with the spread on the first two and a low dollar amount on the last one.

Edited to add the first post material -
 Team with biggest  drop from Pre season polls to Final poll: Auburn
 Team with biggest rise from pre season  Poll to Final Poll: Mississippi State
Heisman Trophy Winner: Dak Prescott
National Semifinalist/Champions: Mississippi State over Arizona State. Michigan State over Baylor. Miss State takes it.
Winner of SEC,Big 12, Big 10, Pac 12, and ACC: Miss St; Baylor; Mich St; Arizona St; Georgia Tech
(#5 will be Bama though not Tech)

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We don't have a news thread, so I'll just share here if OK - modern FCS giant Coastal Carolina just got voted into the Sun Belt as a traveling partner for App State. Very exciting news for an up and coming progra with great baseball as well!! They would be in the top half of that division at present so I can't wait to see what they will look like in 3 years. Beat out traditional power Eastern Kentucky, Longshot New Mexico State (for full membership), and self promoters who didn't fit culture and geography respectively in Liberty and Missouri State. I think the right choice was certainly made.

Excited to see where realignment takes us next! Praying the SEC and Big Ten makes the next splashes! But first - will the Big South collapse and join the SoCon or will Jacksonville keep it teetering afloat by adding athletic scholarships?! Can't wait for the trickle down effects / end detailed obsessive rant

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Utah State at Utah - Weak opener from Chuckie Keeton...
Oregon State at Michigan - Portland State. That is all.
Notre Dame at Virginia - UVA impressed me last week, but Notre Dame lit it up
Iowa at Iowa State - Iowa looked dominant against FCS power.
Oklahoma at Tennessee - SEC!
Oregon at Michigan State - REVENGE! VA Jr. Status??
LSU at Mississippi State - DAK!
Bonus Your upset pick for this week
CHUCK SOUTH over TROY

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Upset: Bowling Green over Maryland

North Texas over SMU

This isn't an upset, is it?

A. Kudos for picking against Maryland
B. Scary enough, it is. That was actually my alternative upset pick, but SMU looked good last week - certainly much removed from last year's blowout. UNT is just as bad. And even worse on the road.

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Northwestern
Tech
Nebraska
LSU
Bama
BYU

Liberty over Montana (The FBS section of 5dimes isn't up, but I'm fine with thus anyway)

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Wow, bad week for me. BYU really hurt. Here we go -

Michigan
Tennessee
TCU
A&M
UCLA
Utah

And ugh, I guess I'll take uconn. Don't like anything, but their D should theoretically shut down the triple option. Always a risk though.

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WV (admittedly biased)
Baylor
Bama
Cal
Ole Miss
Miss St
Notre Dame

Upset: Arkansas over Tennessee (UT has cost me enough points this year.)

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Wow, great job on the upset picks this week! 5 out of 6 on 6 different games!! Holy cow! Should've put the bets in there. Especially those two ACC ones - incredible calls.

On the actual slate of games...not so much. Less than 4 of 7 on average, and Baylor was a somewhat easy call that we all picked, so under half right outside of Baylor.

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Michigan covers.
Wisconsin pulls the upset.
TCU covers.
FSU covers.
Utah covers.

Minnesota (-3) covers @ Purdue. BC (-7.5) vs Wake does not.
Connecticut (+2) defeats UCF.

(For the record, I think this is a little too much to be picking for future weeks. Gets a bit much though won't stop me from playing.)

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Stanford wins, covers.
Iowa wins, covers.
Alabama wins, covers.
Michigan wins, fails to cover.
LSU wins, fails to cover.

UConn (-2.5) covers vs. USF
NC A&T (-16) fails to cover vs. Bethune-Cookman.
Indiana State (+4.5) upsets Southern Illinois

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Ouch, extremely tough week this will be. Only Utah with confidence.

Clemson wins and covers
Alabama wins, fails to cover
Ole Miss wins, fails to cover
Utah wins outright

Temple (+2.5) upsets East Carolina - not that this is a guarantee, but there are like 10* pretty good upset picks this week! Sagarin misjudging a lot of teams.
Missouri (-2.5) will cover vs. Vanderbilt
Boise State (-35) will fail to cover vs. Wyoming


[Not for this contest, but I want credit for saying I'd take the following straight-up: Georgia Southern +6.5; Northwestern +7.5; Furman +8; Morgan State +4.5; and Cal (with small reservations) +3

Considering what SMU and WIU are paying (+360), I might throw some on those and hope for a bit of luck. maybe with the spread would be better. North Dakota +12.5 was obscenely large as well but I won't throw an outright there.

Actually a lot of games I feel confident in picking; just not those two given SEC matchups!]

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UNC wins and covers I guess?
Ole Miss wins and covers
Georgia outright??
Houston wins and covers.
Notre Dame wins. Temple with the spread. (OK, this is basically me praying...)
Stanford wins and covers.

TAMU (-16.5) covers vs. SCAR
Villanova (-11) fails to cover vs. Maine
Coastal Carolina (+3) over Charleston Southern

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Ugh, literally no clue on these games:

UNC fails to cover
Clemson fails to cover
Oklahoma State upset
Alabama covers
Cal upset

Michigan State (-6) covers vs. Nebraska
Ohio St (-24) fails to cover vs. Minnesota
Marshall (+3) upsets Middle Tennessee St

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Auburn covers
Miss St upset
Memphasis upset
Stanford covers
Oklahoma upset
UCLA covers

TCU (-45) ain't covering vs. Kansas
Temple (-2.5) covers @ USF
Kentucky (+3) upsets Vandy

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LSU Upset
USC Upset
Utah covers.
Ohio State fails to cover
Baylor covers
Oklahoma fails to cover.

Villanova (+6) upsets James Madison
Colorado State (-2) covers vs. New Mexico
Towson (-20) fails to cover vs. Rhode Island

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Navy upset
Baylor covers
Michigan covers
USC covers
Irish upset
FSU covers
Oklahoma St upset (biased)

Iowa -1.5 covers.
App State -23.5 fails to cover.
Ugh, don't like many upsets...Syracuse +3 I guess

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Change me to Stanford covers actually. I want to believe in something tonight if it's just for fun.

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Bowling Green fails to cover.
TEMPLE upset
Western Kentucky fails to cover.
Bama covers.
Stanford covers
Michigan State covers
Clemson covers