President Infinity 2016 predictions
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Author Topic: President Infinity 2016 predictions  (Read 10564 times)
Adriano Chiká
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« on: August 09, 2015, 01:42:40 PM »

I did some simulations of past elections and most gave a result equal to or very close to what happened. I decided to see what the game would predict for the 2016 election.


Bush/Kasich - 290 EV - 49,1%
Clinton/Castro - 248 EV - 50,9%


Clinton/O'Malley - 281 EV - 50%
Walker/Jindal - 257 EV - 50%


Clinton/Kaine - 329 EV - 51,2%
Trump/Palin - 209 EV - 48,8%

Comments, opinions or ideas?
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Abraham Reagan
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« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2015, 01:49:09 PM »

I love how in PI, Wisconsin is virtually a safe R state.
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Adriano Chiká
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« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2015, 02:44:59 PM »

I decided to do a simulation of Bush-Clinton-Trump. Clearly the victory would go to Clinton, but was surprised at Michigan.


Clinton/Warner - 322 EV - 40,5%
Bush/Kasich - 187 EV - 34,6%
Trump/Trump Jr. - 29 EV - 29,9%
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okierepublican
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« Reply #3 on: August 09, 2015, 02:54:12 PM »

North Carolina isn't blue if pensylvania is red.
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Pyro
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« Reply #4 on: August 09, 2015, 03:04:29 PM »

These maps don't make any sense.
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Torie
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« Reply #5 on: August 09, 2015, 03:07:03 PM »

Beware of what comes out of black boxes.
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Donald Trump 2016 !
captainkangaroo
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« Reply #6 on: August 09, 2015, 03:21:15 PM »

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: August 09, 2015, 03:27:19 PM »

I say Clinton win OH; Va, &NV; but lose CO for 284 electors
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #8 on: August 09, 2015, 03:49:06 PM »

I once did a simulation with O'Malley that looked legit
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Adriano Chiká
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« Reply #9 on: August 09, 2015, 04:10:55 PM »

In Clinton / Bush see North Carolina going to Bush and Clinton going to Ohio, though with Kasich doing a good vice campaign, could go even for Bush.
In Clinton / Walker see Oregon, Washington and Ohio going to Clinton.
In Clinton / Trump see Wisconsin, Colorado and North Carolina going to Clinton, perhaps Florida for Trump.
In Clinton / Bush / Trump, Trump think most likely to win in New Hampshire than New York. Also I assume Missouri and Michigan would go to Clinton.


Kasich/Bush - 291 EV - 51,2%
Clinton/O'Malley - 247 EV - 48,8%
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #10 on: August 09, 2015, 04:41:07 PM »

Was this simulation designed by Dick Morris and Mark Halperin?
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SteveRogers
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« Reply #11 on: August 09, 2015, 10:24:05 PM »

Lol I've tried to play the Republican primary in PI a couple times, and the game seems preposterously stilted in favor of Jeb. Even when Jeb doesn't win a single primary until April, once everybody starts dropping out they all endorse him and he gets all of their delegates, thus barely edging Kasich (me) out at the last second.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #12 on: August 10, 2015, 01:12:59 PM »

Was this simulation designed by Dick Morris and Mark Halperin?
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rbt48
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« Reply #13 on: August 10, 2015, 03:56:55 PM »

Notice how with Trump as a third party candidate, the simulation shows an increase in the total number of popular votes to be about 38,000,000 greater.
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Vega
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« Reply #14 on: August 10, 2015, 04:07:57 PM »

These games are horrible IMO.
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Higgs
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« Reply #15 on: August 10, 2015, 09:08:31 PM »

This game looks fun, anybody know where I can buy it at?
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #16 on: August 11, 2015, 12:15:40 PM »

This game looks fun, anybody know where I can buy it at?
http://270soft.com/
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Cory
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« Reply #17 on: August 11, 2015, 12:38:47 PM »


No they aren't. They're about the closest thing folks like us have to a serious election game.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #18 on: August 11, 2015, 01:53:03 PM »

I've been looking for a way to get Power Politics III but cannot find it anywhere online...
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Higgs
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« Reply #19 on: August 11, 2015, 10:24:51 PM »


Thanks, I got it and I can't beat Jeb Bush
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #20 on: August 12, 2015, 12:22:21 AM »

no way NC goes Dem and PA GOP. No way IN goes DEM and NC GOP.
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Blair
Blair2015
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« Reply #21 on: August 12, 2015, 01:55:19 AM »

People need to stop getting so worked up, it's one of the best US political sims out there. They just largely ignore the national scale polls and do it on a state level-for example if I spend $60,000,000 in Michigan as a republican and send all my surrogates I'd have a good chance.

The game is designed to have fluid responses, you can't have the game so 'oh wait Clinton lose Indiana so forget that North Carolina should go to her. I'd love you to see you lot in 2007 saying how unrealistic the 2008 results where
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #22 on: August 12, 2015, 07:40:13 AM »

People need to stop getting so worked up, it's one of the best US political sims out there. They just largely ignore the national scale polls and do it on a state level-for example if I spend $60,000,000 in Michigan as a republican and send all my surrogates I'd have a good chance.

The game is designed to have fluid responses, you can't have the game so 'oh wait Clinton lose Indiana so forget that North Carolina should go to her. I'd love you to see you lot in 2007 saying how unrealistic the 2008 results where
For real. I tend to ignore the state %, as those are a bit funny depending on scenario, but the base scenarios that come with the game tend to be decently accurate. It's a great game! Lord knows it's more accurate than The Political Machine...
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Higgs
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« Reply #23 on: August 16, 2015, 12:14:30 AM »

Here's mine in Atlas map form



Marco Rubio/Kelly Ayotte - 325 EV 51.3% PV
Hillary Clinton/Julian Castro - 213 EV 48.7% PV
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #24 on: August 16, 2015, 12:33:26 AM »

There's about to be updates that will roll out that will make the game more realistic it's the favorability system that will factor in demographics like race, gender, religion and ideology like conservative, liberal, moderate, etc., and approval/disapproval. It will make the game a lot more realistic.
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