2016 Republican Nomination Poll - August 2015 (Post-debate)

[Senator Cris]

Results of August 2015 (Pre-debate)

Bush 35.6%
Kasich/Trump 17.8%
Walker 12.2%
Rubio 5.6%
Cruz/Paul 3.3%
Christie/Carson/Fiorina/Graham 1.1%

[Maxwell]

I don't even know what to think anymore.

I'm gonna guess Rubio this month. I just don't think Bush has what it takes, and apparently, neither does Walker.

[The Other Castro]

I don't even know what to think anymore.

Pretty much this. If I had to name someone, I'd name Rubio. I still just can't see a future in which Jeb is the nominee.

[tmthforu94]

I think it'll be Rubio or Kasich.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Christ knows. Either Cruz or Rubio, from what I saw of the debate and my judgement on the "inevitable" candidate.

[Donald Trump 2016 !]

I'm still going with Bush as the likely nominee. His performance in the debates will continue to improve.

[Crumpets]

Earlier someone was keeping track of these polls on a graph, and I haven't seen one in a while, so here's one of the results going back to January. I've tried to match the colors of the candidates' curves to the ones used on RCP.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Sticking with Rubio for the 4th straight month now I think.

On PredictIt, Walker finally fell behind him and Bush won't of course. Rubio is the logical option however difficult it is to pick one.

Usually when I do probabilities, I have a hard time getting them down to 100%. At this point, I have a hard time getting them up that high.

Rubio 25%; Trump 15%; Walker 15%; Jeb 12.5%; Huckabee 10%; Cruz 8%; Kasich 5%; Rand 3%; Field 7.5%

[ElectionsGuy]

Lindsey Graham

duh

[HagridOfTheDeep]

I went with Kasich. The others just don't have what it takes, and it will become more and more apparent with time that Kasich's the only guy who has any real gravitas. And that's what's required. Above all, you've gotta be able to picture the person as president. Sounds shallow, but if voters don't think a candidate is president material, that candidate won't win.

Everyone else is a softball candidate.

[Yelnoc]

Earlier someone was keeping track of these polls on a graph, and I haven't seen one in a while, so here's one of the results going back to January. I've tried to match the colors of the candidates' curves to the ones used on RCP.

Thanks for making this! I really missed the graphs that used to accompany Cris's polls.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Still Bush

[Suburbia]

Kasich most likely,  but Bush or Rubio second likely.

[The Mikado]

I love how Walker, the current #3, has 0 votes.

[Blue3]

I went with Rubio as a compromise between the Trump/Carson/Cruz and the Bush/Walker/Kasich wings.

I like Kasich, but he doesn't have a chance. He's only likeable here, and for me personally too, because of his moderate views and friendly tone. The exact opposite of Trump, and the GOP primary voters want Trump or someone who communicates like him.

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Went with Jeb, but he needs to lift his game now.

[TDAS04]

Bush or Walker.  Voted Walker. 

[Figueira]

Voted Rubio, but it's pretty unpredictable.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Still think Walker- I don't know why this forum has written him off.

[Penelope]

I'm still voting Bush in these polls, but I just don't know what to think anymore. This party has finally gone off the deep end. After looking at those post-debate polls, it might be Trump or Carson for all we know.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

A tie between Jeb and Kasich. Went with Jeb.

[CLARENCE 2015!]

You all are mistaken- it will be Trump

[Consciously Unconscious]

If Kasich performs as well in future debates as he did in the first one, then he should have a fairly decent shot at the nomination. 

[Sir Mohamed]

You all are mistaken- it will be Trump

I damn hope so.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Lol @ Kasich being second. Ah, Atlas and moderate Midwesterners must be a tale as old as time.