MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread
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Poll
Question: Rate this race
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Tilt D		  
#5
Tossup		  
#6
Tilt R		  
#7
Lean R		  
#8
Likely R		  
#9
Safe R		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 284

Author Topic: MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread  (Read 129921 times)
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #375 on: July 17, 2017, 05:58:23 PM »

Thank god.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #376 on: July 17, 2017, 06:48:47 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on July 17, 2017, 04:40:48 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on July 17, 2017, 04:39:00 PM
The GOP is really having a hard time finding candidates across a bunch of red state Dem seats.
That's what happens in midterms

Not really. Not de facto, anyway.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #377 on: July 17, 2017, 06:50:02 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on July 17, 2017, 04:39:00 PM
The GOP is really having a hard time finding candidates across a bunch of red state Dem seats.

Hartzler would have been McCaskill's preferred candidate.
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jro660
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« Reply #378 on: July 17, 2017, 09:16:25 PM »
Who has a better chance of defeating eventual GOP opponent in 2018? Jason Kander or incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill?
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I’m not Stu
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« Reply #379 on: July 17, 2017, 09:53:52 PM »
Quote from: TheLeftwardTide on July 17, 2017, 09:39:31 PM
Tilt R, bordering on Lean R. I just can't see a repeat of something like Akin happening again, not in the current political climate.

Maybe if a Trumpite is nominated she can carry suburban voters and win MO-02...? *barfs*

Maybe if a boring establishment Republican is nominated, the rural turnout is depressed...?

I just don't see a feasible path to victory. McCaskill will have the right political tailwinds in 2018, with 2-term incumbency + Trump  likely a good year for Democrats, but is that enough in Missouri?
It depends on the Republican.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #380 on: July 17, 2017, 09:56:13 PM »
Probably Jason Kander.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #381 on: July 17, 2017, 10:03:17 PM »
Should be Jason Kander...however, someone like Jason Kander should've been better in 2012 too.

Not underestimating McCaskill yet.
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Coraxion
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« Reply #382 on: July 17, 2017, 10:25:00 PM »
Kander. McCaskill will still win, though.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #383 on: July 17, 2017, 10:27:11 PM »
Kander is done as a Senate candidate. He and McCaskill are equally as bad.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #384 on: July 18, 2017, 12:33:31 AM »
Hawley running
https://mobile.twitter.com/johngizzi/status/887149188865298432
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Kamala
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« Reply #385 on: July 18, 2017, 08:41:40 AM »
"Josh Hawley: handpicked by the Washington establishment to take away your healthcare" or some other little attack like this might be worthwhile for McCaskill.
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windjammer
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« Reply #386 on: July 18, 2017, 09:50:16 AM »
Well that is a toss up
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #387 on: July 18, 2017, 02:40:02 PM »

Finally, praise the lord.

Lean R.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #388 on: July 18, 2017, 02:45:34 PM »
We'll see if he actually runs. There were a lot of similar reports about Wagner and Hartzler before they bowed out.
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Canis
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« Reply #389 on: July 18, 2017, 02:52:43 PM »
imo this changes this race to lean rep
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Coraxion
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« Reply #390 on: July 18, 2017, 03:38:03 PM »
Attorney General for only 6 months, and nothing else on his resume? I fail to see how this is bad news for McCaskill. It's good news IMO.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #391 on: July 18, 2017, 03:49:42 PM »
^ Its not good news at all, but it's not 100% bad either. He did win his election 61-39, outperforming Trump and Greitens, but obviously that doesn't always mean success in a Senate election (see: Josh Mandel).

In a race McCaskill is slightly not favored in atm, I still think Hawley winning 61-39 and not facing any scandals should worry McCaskill.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #392 on: July 18, 2017, 04:15:59 PM »
I still think GOP is making a mistake preffing this guy over Wagner. But we'll see
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Kamala
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« Reply #393 on: July 18, 2017, 04:18:34 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on July 18, 2017, 04:15:59 PM
I still think GOP is making a mistake preffing this guy over Wagner. But we'll see
He might be a paper tiger, for all we know.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #394 on: July 19, 2017, 08:50:53 AM »
National Journal/Politico: Hawley's running.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #395 on: July 19, 2017, 11:50:58 AM »
Quote from: TheSaint250 on July 18, 2017, 03:49:42 PM
In a race McCaskill is slightly not favored in atm, I still think Hawley winning 61-39 and not facing any scandals should worry McCaskill.

Any non-Akin/Blunt Republican running should worry McCaskill. This isn't Michigan, and her favorability is underwater.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #396 on: July 20, 2017, 05:14:12 PM »
The Hill: Senate Dems warn potential Missouri GOP recruit with opposition research dump.

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windjammer
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« Reply #397 on: July 20, 2017, 05:16:52 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 20, 2017, 05:14:12 PM
The Hill: Senate Dems warn potential Missouri GOP recruit with opposition research dump.

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They are worried about him.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #398 on: July 20, 2017, 05:19:54 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 20, 2017, 05:14:12 PM
The Hill: Senate Dems warn potential Missouri GOP recruit with opposition research dump.

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I don't think if you have something you'd announce you have it, they're bluffing.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #399 on: July 20, 2017, 06:10:12 PM »
Does Hawley run?
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