MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread

[windjammer]

I think she's going to lose. There will be a crowded GOP primary and whoever wins will defeat her.

[windjammer]

Back to the actual subject.

Do we think that Wagner is going to waltz through a primary or will she actually have competition? Hartzler seems the more likely one to contest.

There are Vicky Hartzler And Sam Graves who are mentioned. No idea of their interest though

[windjammer]

If McCaskill wins, I think a lot of Republicans will have a meltdown LOL. Maybe it's the best if I mentally prepare for a McCaskill victory.

I mean, it seems that Trump wil have a -20 approval ratings when the midterms will be held. He's not going to be popular heavily with this job approval and might even been slightly unpopular, so Mccaskill does that a chance to be reelected, considering Trump will certainly not drag her down.

[windjammer]

Wagner ain't running: http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/top-gop-senate-recruit-ann-wagner-wont-challenge-claire-mccaskill/article/2627674

It means her internals aren't good I think, she would have run otherwise.
Anyway, I think she's an overrated candidate deeply out of touch with the MO GOP, I wouldn't have been surprised if she would have been defeated in the primaries.

[windjammer]

Well,
I'm quite confident about this race.

I expect no incumbent dem senator to lose with Trump in the 30's.

[windjammer]

She's a liberal, that's why I like her but that's why her seat could flip too.

[windjammer]

Well that is a toss up

[windjammer]

The Hill: Senate Dems warn potential Missouri GOP recruit with opposition research dump.

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They are worried about him.

[windjammer]

Money doesn't matter as much as people seem to believe as long both candidates are well-funded, and that will be the case.

[windjammer]

I mean lol, Mccaskill isn't really the underdog anymore. Trump is at best 50/50 in MO, and so with the higher turnout rates for the democrats, she should be fine in the end.

[windjammer]

McCaskill comes out against the $12 Billion farm/tariff bailout, while Hawley backs it.

McCaskill Statement


Hawley Statement (Tweet)

So let me get this straight... if you're a Red State Democrat, the way to convince T***p voters to vote for you you is to confirm a SCOTUS nominee but not to support actual economic aid to those voters?

No,
Her point is to abolish the Trump tariff instead of passing stimulus needed because of the Trump tariffs.