Fox News (8/11-8/13): Trump maintains a wide lead, Bernie surging

[The Free North]

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/08/14/fox-news-poll-sanders-gains-on-clinton/


Republicans (current / change since last Fox poll)

Trump: 25 (-1)
Carson: 12 (+5)
Cruz: 10 (+4)
Bush: 9 (-6)
Walker: 6 (-3)
Huckabee: 6 (0)
Fiorina: 5 (+3)
Kasich: 4 (+1)
Rubio: 4 (-1)
Paul: 3 (-2)
Christie: 3 (0)
Perry: 1 (0)
Santorum: 1 (-1)
Jindal: 1 (0)
Pataki: 1 (+1)
Graham: 0 (0)
Gilmore: 0 (0)


Democrats (current / change since last Fox poll)

Clinton: 49 (-2)
Sanders: 30 (+8)
Biden: 10 (-3)
Webb: 1 (0)
O'Malley: 1 (0)
Chafee: 0 (-1)

[The Free North]

Kasich and Christie are now tied at 3.8 for the last debate spot according to the RCP average.

[Tender Branson]

The Bernster is surging accross the board, while Hilldog is slowly collapsing.

I told you guys before, now it's becoming more evident each day.

And if the Blaxicans finally jump on board the Bernie-train in the next months, she's done.

[Gass3268]

The Bernster is surging accross the board, while Hilldog is slowly collapsing.

I told you guys before, now it's becoming more evident each day.

And if the Blaxicans finally jump on board the Bernie-train in the next months, she's done.

Stop saying that.

[Tender Branson]

The Bernster is surging accross the board, while Hilldog is slowly collapsing.

I told you guys before, now it's becoming more evident each day.

And if the Blaxicans finally jump on board the Bernie-train in the next months, she's done.

Stop saying that.

I'll say whatever I want.

[The Free North]

This is why Rand is in trouble.

Rubio and Carson continue to do extremely well in terms of personal favorability.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hilary isnt done, shes in a real race. The Oct debates will make a difference. Even if Biden jumps in, it will only help her, and solidify her leads in Iowa & SC.

[The Free North]

Looking at the cross tabs, Sanders actually beats Hillary with young voters, males, and whites.


He really is a democratic Ron Paul.

[OkThen]

I wonder how long the media will continue the Bush/Rubio/Walker as the "top tier" narrative even though polling continues to not suggest that. They're in 4th, 5th, and tied for 8th...

[Mr. Morden]

On the Democratic side:

men:
Sanders 41%
Clinton 38%

women:
Clinton 57%
Sanders 22%

whites:
Sanders 43%
Clinton 37%

non-whites:
Clinton 65%
Sanders 14%

under age 45:
Sanders 43%
Clinton 42%

over age 45:
Clinton 55%
Sanders 20%

under $50k income:
Clinton 59%
Sanders 19%

over $50k income:
Clinton 40%
Sanders 39%

[Mr. Morden]

On the Republican side:

with a collage degree:
Trump 18%
Carson 16%
Bush 8%
Cruz 8%
Walker 8%
Rubio 7%
Huckabee 6%

without a college degree:
Trump 30%
Cruz 12%
Bush 10%
Carson 8%
Fiorina 6%
Huckabee 6%
Walker 4%

[The Other Castro]

Biden should probably run.

[Mehmentum]

This completely matches the Surveymonkey poll that everyone trashed.

Trump staying steady.  Carson, Cruz, and Fiorina surging.  Walker and Bush falling.  Rubio stationary (some polls have shown him surging, but not this one).

Trump + Carson + Cruz "The Barbarians" = 47%
Bush + Rubio + Walker + Kasich + Christie "The Forces of Enlightenment" = 26%

In other words, all of the establishment friendly candidates put together are getting as much as Trump alone is.

[ElectionsGuy]

On the Democratic side:

men:
Sanders 41%
Clinton 38%

women:
Clinton 57%
Sanders 22%

whites:
Sanders 43%
Clinton 37%

non-whites:
Clinton 65%
Sanders 14%

under age 45:
Sanders 43%
Clinton 42%

over age 45:
Clinton 55%
Sanders 20%

under $50k income:
Clinton 59%
Sanders 19%

over $50k income:
Clinton 40%
Sanders 39%

Bernie Sanders' electorate is basically this forum.

And how can there be such a difference between men and women. Men are not that much more liberal. People should not be voting on gender.

[Mehmentum]

On the Democratic side this is pretty close to the Emmerson College poll, with Clinton around 50, and Sanders around 30.

It's also very close to the CNN Iowa poll.  I'm honestly surprised that Iowa is about in line with where the race is nationally.  Iowa should be one of Sander's strongest states, but instead its being relatively lukewarm to him.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

under $50k income:
Clinton 59%
Sanders 19%

over $50k income:
Clinton 40%
Sanders 39%

high-income Dem: take all my money, please!
low-income Dem:  eh, no thanks.

[Eraserhead]

Sanders is leading among whites in general now. Interesting.

[Phony Moderate]

On the Democratic side:

men:
Sanders 41%
Clinton 38%

women:
Clinton 57%
Sanders 22%

whites:
Sanders 43%
Clinton 37%

non-whites:
Clinton 65%
Sanders 14%

under age 45:
Sanders 43%
Clinton 42%

over age 45:
Clinton 55%
Sanders 20%

under $50k income:
Clinton 59%
Sanders 19%

over $50k income:
Clinton 40%
Sanders 39%

Bernie Sanders' electorate is basically this forum.

And how can there be such a difference between men and women. Men are not that much more liberal. People should not be voting on gender.

White Democratic men are.

[Mr. Morden]

White Democratic men are.

If only it was the 1850s, Sanders would win in a landslide. 

[JerryArkansas]

The Bernster is surging accross the board, while Hilldog is slowly collapsing.

I told you guys before, now it's becoming more evident each day.

And if the Blaxicans finally jump on board the Bernie-train in the next months, she's done.

Stop saying that.

I'll say whatever I want.

And I will call you whatever I want, which is a racist who doesn't even see how bad he is.  This also includes xenophobia and other things.

[The Other Castro]

The Bernster is surging accross the board, while Hilldog is slowly collapsing.

I told you guys before, now it's becoming more evident each day.

And if the Blaxicans finally jump on board the Bernie-train in the next months, she's done.

Stop saying that.

I'll say whatever I want.

How are you a mod?

[EliteLX]

As expected,

Cruz soars once he is heard!

[Likely Voter]

This seems to confirm other polls re winners and losers from the GOP debate with the exception of Rubio, who is actually down in this poll. One thing is clear, Walker is in trouble. Now that he is no longer leading in IA and is no longer in the top 3 nationally, can people still say he is one of the 'frontrunners'?

[The Mikado]

Can we stop pretending Jeb Bush is the frontrunner now? He's not polling in the lead in any early state (and is in fact around 5th place in Iowa), is in 4th place nationally in high single digits and he's running behind luminaries like Ben Carson and Ted Cruz. Whatever money he raises could be matched by the Kochs for Scott Walker or by Donald Trump for himself, and his endorsements aren't doing him any good whatsoever. He even has Rubio running so he's not the only person from the swing state of Florida.

How is Jeb Bush not considered second-tier? I don't see Bush as any more serious of a candidate than Ted Cruz or Mike Huckabee.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Because Fox, clearly has Jeb beating Clinton, and Trump isnt a serious candidate. All except Fox believes Trump is a serious candidate.