NJ general Assembly 2015 election

[jman123]

Do you see Republicans gaining seats in NJ Assembly this November ? this is Christie's second term midterm legislative election. Ultimate   Assembly composition?  

[Mr.Phips]

Do you see Republicans gaining seats in NJ Assembly this November ? this is Christie's second term midterm legislative election. Ultimate   Assembly composition?  

Assembly remains unchanged at 48D-32R.

[windjammer]

I guess Christie's bilan will hurt NJ republicans?

[Mr.Phips]

I guess Christie's bilan will hurt NJ republicans?

The only time a can think of when a NJ governor's unpopularity visibly hurt their party in the offyear was Florio in 1990 and 1991.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

NJ is far too gerrymandered. I'd be shocked if every single incumbent didn't win - again.

[rbt48]

NJ is far too gerrymandered. I'd be shocked if every single incumbent didn't win - again.

Yes, as I understand it, when Christie won re-election in 2013, the Republicans actually got more votes than Democrats in state legislative races (total votes of all districts).  Yet 48 - 32 and 42 - 16 line-ups were unchanged.  It must be a powerfully strong gerrymander.

[mds32]

I think it will be 48-32 or 47-33 Democratic Majority.

In State Assembly District 2 I think Mazzeo could lose if voters who voted Amodeo out switch back to GOPer Will Pauls.

[dudeabides]

Do you see Republicans gaining seats in NJ Assembly this November ? this is Christie's second term midterm legislative election. Ultimate   Assembly composition?  

Republicans won more votes than Democrats in legislative elections in 2013, when the Governor won 60% of the vote. The GOP won 53% of the votes cast in legislative races that year. The districts are gerrymandered and Christie's approval is well below 50%. So, no.

[Simfan34]

If NJ Republicans were to sue over the gerrymander, who exactly would be the respondent here? Could Christie or an appointee just choose to either give a poor defence or none at all and get it thrown out?

[Suburbia]

I live in NJ. Democrats will likely keep the Assembly, in a low turnout election. I have not seen any bumper stickers, no yard signs, no TV/radio ads, very low turnout. Pathetic for democracy.

[Brittain33]

Do you see Republicans gaining seats in NJ Assembly this November ? this is Christie's second term midterm legislative election. Ultimate   Assembly composition?  

Republicans won more votes than Democrats in legislative elections in 2013, when the Governor won 60% of the vote. The GOP won 53% of the votes cast in legislative races that year. The districts are gerrymandered and Christie's approval is well below 50%. So, no.

I won't deny the map favors Democrats, but the real factor here is turnout being so much lower in city districts than in Republican exurban districts.

[Joe Republic]

Republicans won more votes than Democrats in legislative elections in 2013, when the Governor won 60% of the vote. The GOP won 53% of the votes cast in legislative races that year. The districts are gerrymandered and Christie's approval is well below 50%. So, no.

Oh cool, just like the 2012 US House elections, when the Democrats won 1.4 million more votes than Republicans, who won 33 more seats than the Dems.  Sucks, don't it?