Who are the Republican voters in this precinct?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

2010 Census 18+ population:
White 142
Black 2098
Hispanic 71
Asian 251
Native 8
Other 53

2008 election results:
Obama 938
McCain 122

...and this is in an area where Obama typically won around 75-85% of the white vote.

[The Free North]

Perhaps some conservative Asian voters?

[jimrtex]

2010 Census 18+ population:
White 142
Black 2098
Hispanic 71
Asian 251
Native 8
Other 53

What is the source for these numbers?

[YaBoyNY]

It would help to know where the precinct is.

[Republican Michigander]

Pro-lifers.

[Goldwater]

The 122 people that voted for McCain.

[ElectionsGuy]

Normal people that you see walking in the street every day. I know that's a shock to BRTD, but its true.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

2010 Census 18+ population:
White 142
Black 2098
Hispanic 71
Asian 251
Native 8
Other 53

What is the source for these numbers?

DRA

It would help to know where the precinct is.

Minneapolis. Not too far from where I live.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'm actually posting from this precinct on my phone right now.

[jimrtex]

2010 Census 18+ population:
White 142
Black 2098
Hispanic 71
Asian 251
Native 8
Other 53

What is the source for these numbers?

DRA

It would help to know where the precinct is.

Minneapolis. Not too far from where I live.

Somehow, I had got the wrong precinct, or I might have switched to the census tract to get more data.  I was concerned that DRA had got mixed up when Minneapolis was re-warded.  2-10 is not the same precinct as it was in 2008.

Particularly notable is that the White VAP is 142, and the White total population is also 142.  That is, among 1061 under 18, zero are white (non-Hispanic).  Either the white population is the last hangers on, or they are all college students.  If they 142 are people living in the same house for the last 50 years, then there were more than 142 in 2008.

Within the census tract, Koreans were the largest Asian group, followed by Chinese and Vietnamese.  Conceivably some personal votes for McCain.  Maybe Somalians thought that Obama was from Kenya.  Are the Ethiopians in Minneapolis Christian, and some might have been mistrustful of someone with a middle name of Hussein.

The precinct is now 6-3 and extends east of Cedar.  In 2008 (election) and 2010 (census) it was the last piece of the downtown diagonal grid, and obviously not a swank area since they'd built I-35 cutting it off from the rest of the grid.

In 2012, it was Obama 1799, Romney 114.  In 2013 it was Warsame 1105, Lillegren 84.  An oddity was the extremely large share of absentee ballots in 2013.  Citywide it was around 6%.  In 6-3, it was over 50%.  There may have been an effort to make sure they marked their ballot right.

So my guess is that the 2010 census did not accurately reflect the 2008 electorate, as the Somali population moves eastward, and more become citizens.

[Adam Griffin]

I'm cross-posting this from AAD so others can see it, as I believe it is the correct answer.

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I'm glad to see that jim confirmed my belief that Koreans were the predominant Asian bloc in the precinct, and brtd later explained that Somalis were a large portion of the black population (which now explains the ridiculously-low turnout rate in the precinct).

[Mr. Morden]

So a plurality of McCain voters in that precinct are black (which actually isn't that odd, since blacks make up about 80% of the total population there)?  I actually wonder in how many precincts nationwide were a plurality (or in some cases, a majority?) of McCain voters black.

[Figueira]

So a plurality of McCain voters in that precinct are black (which actually isn't that odd, since blacks make up about 80% of the total population there)?  I actually wonder in how many precincts nationwide were a plurality (or in some cases, a majority?) of McCain voters black.

Probably almost all precincts where virtually everyone is black.

[Adam Griffin]

So a plurality of McCain voters in that precinct are black (which actually isn't that odd, since blacks make up about 80% of the total population there)?  I actually wonder in how many precincts nationwide were a plurality (or in some cases, a majority?) of McCain voters black.

Probably almost all precincts where virtually everyone is black.

In Georgia (varies by county in any state, obviously), the precincts will generally need to be at least 92% black and the white number will need to be less than half of the remainder. I actually made a map of this for GA this morning but it's on my other computer. Something like 135 precincts in the state; almost all of them in Atlanta. There were about 10 scattered elsewhere in the state (Columbus, Augusta, Macon, Albany, Savannah & Valdosta - no rural precincts fit the bill).


EDIT: Ugh, looks like I lost the map. I do have the tabulations, though.

97   Fulton (ATL)
39   Dekalb (ATL)
5   Chatham (Savannah)
5   Dougherty (Albany)
3   Richmond (Augusta)
1   Bibb (Macon)
1   Lowndes (Valdosta)
1   Muscogee (Columbus)

152   Georgia (Statewide)

[jimrtex]

It would help to know where the precinct is.

Minneapolis. Not too far from where I live.

It looks like Pruitt-Igoe or Cabrini Green