A divisive primary isn’t going to cost GOP the White House. (user search)
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  A divisive primary isn’t going to cost GOP the White House. (search mode)
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Author Topic: A divisive primary isn’t going to cost GOP the White House.  (Read 1386 times)
muon2
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« on: August 20, 2015, 08:59:33 AM »
The analysis I've seen looks at divisive primaries in relation to the party with the White House. The conclusion is that divisive primaries have minimal effect on the challenging party. They do have an effect of the party defending the Presidency. In the period from 1864 to the present a presence or lack of a contested nomination in the incumbent party has forecast the outcome over 90% of the time.
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