Economist/YouGov - National: Trump still in the lead, Walker up
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Author Topic: Economist/YouGov - National: Trump still in the lead, Walker up  (Read 1084 times)
Tirnam
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« on: August 23, 2015, 12:58:55 PM »
« edited: August 23, 2015, 09:39:37 PM by Mr. Morden »
YouGov poll August 14-18

Trump: 26% (+1 vs August 4th)
Walker: 14% (+5)
Bush: 12% (+3)
Rubio: 8% (-1)
Carson: 6% (-5)
Cruz: 6% (-1)
Paul: 6% (+3)
Christie: 4% (+1)
Huckabee: 3% (=)
Jindal: 3% (+3)
Fiorina: 2% (-4)
Kasich: 1% (-3)
Santorum: 0% (-1)


Trump favorability among Republicans is 64/34. 66% of Republicans think that Trump could win the general election.

www . yougov.co.uk/news/2015/08/23/us-election-latest-donald-trump-continues-dominate/

MOD UPDATE: Here are the real numbers (listed later in the thread as well):

Trump: 25% (-1 vs August 4th)
Walker: 9% (-5)
Bush: 9% (-3)
Rubio: 9% (+1)
Carson: 11% (+5)
Cruz: 7% (+1)
Paul: 3% (-3)
Christie: 3% (-1)
Huckabee: 3% (=)
Jindal: 3% (+3)
Fiorina: 6% (+4)
Kasich: 4% (+3)
Santorum: 0% (-1)
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #1 on: August 23, 2015, 01:10:51 PM »



So, by this graph, better than PPP, ABC, Mason-Dixon and Gallup (none of which seem to get swiftly dismissed here).
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The Mikado
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« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2015, 01:15:56 PM »
Walker up and Carson down at the same time as other polls had Carson up and Walker down? Not sure if I buy this.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2015, 01:16:43 PM »
Bush, Paul, and Walker rise while Kasich, Carson, and Fiorina fall? This makes absolutely no sense.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2015, 01:21:18 PM »
Quote from: The Mikado on August 23, 2015, 01:15:56 PM
Walker up and Carson down at the same time as other polls had Carson up and Walker down? Not sure if I buy this.
Plus Chritie ahead of Kasich and Fiorina

This poll feels like it is from a month ago before FOX debate.

Either things have snapped back and the debate effects have all been erased or this is an outlier
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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: August 23, 2015, 01:23:04 PM »
Weird numbers. It's like the debates never happened at all.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2015, 01:23:43 PM »
Quote from: Likely Voter on August 23, 2015, 01:21:18 PM
Quote from: The Mikado on August 23, 2015, 01:15:56 PM
Walker up and Carson down at the same time as other polls had Carson up and Walker down? Not sure if I buy this.
Plus Chritie ahead of Kasich and Fiorina

This poll feels like it is from a month ago before FOX debate.

Either things have snapped back and the debate effects have all been erased or this is an outlier
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #7 on: August 23, 2015, 03:21:12 PM »
Fantastic news as one debate is obviously meaningless towards long term opinions. Scott Walker shall easily be slain again as he has no skills and Jeb will flounder with no hope of rising.
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weixiaobao
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« Reply #8 on: August 23, 2015, 03:35:48 PM »
Quote from: tmthforu94 on August 23, 2015, 01:16:43 PM
Bush, Paul, and Walker rise while Kasich, Carson, and Fiorina fall? This makes absolutely no sense.

Because, look at the days.  It has been a few days since the debate happened.  Trump should have lost a percentage or two if it was 2 or so days afterward.  But since then, immigration plan and Fox/Rand vs Trump.  Carson had his whole fetal research debacle.  Fiorina is now under the examination light.  Stuffs she said in the past about Islam had been dug up.  And Trump vs Fiorina for a few times.  And you know what happen when someone vs Trump.  Kasich came out with his statement about conservatives worry too much about abortion and as articles put it "pro amnesty."  Those aren't all good things.

Though, Walker rise make absolutely no sense.  Bush rise make sense because he taking up the anti Trump votes as his moderate alternatives starting to fall.

Walker flip flop with the whole immigrant thing was funny.
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weixiaobao
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« Reply #9 on: August 23, 2015, 04:02:28 PM »
From the pdf, since the op get the thing absolutely wrong

Trump: 25% (-1 vs August 4th)
Walker: 9% (-5)
Bush: 9% (-3)
Rubio: 9% (+1)
Carson: 11% (+5)
Cruz: 7% (+1)
Paul: 3% (-3)
Christie: 3% (-1)
Huckabee: 3% (=)
Jindal: 3% (+3)
Fiorina: 6% (+4)
Kasich: 4% (+3)
Santorum: 0% (-1)

this look better.  Someone update the first post.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #10 on: August 23, 2015, 04:11:33 PM »
« Edited: August 23, 2015, 04:43:41 PM by Mehmentum »
Quote from: weixiaobao on August 23, 2015, 04:02:28 PM
From the pdf, since the op get the thing absolutely wrong

Trump: 25% (-1 vs August 4th)
Walker: 9% (-5)
Bush: 9% (-3)
Rubio: 9% (+1)
Carson: 11% (+5)
Cruz: 7% (+1)
Paul: 3% (-3)
Christie: 3% (-1)
Huckabee: 3% (=)
Jindal: 3% (+3)
Fiorina: 6% (+4)
Kasich: 4% (+3)
Santorum: 0% (-1)

this look better.  Someone update the first post.
Oh my god!  Everyone was saying how much it looks like this poll was from a month ago.  That's because the poll literally was from a month ago!
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #11 on: August 23, 2015, 04:24:10 PM »
« Edited: August 23, 2015, 04:32:53 PM by Likely Voter »
Here is the chart. It appears the OP thought the lower number was the new (post debate) poll, but it was the other way around



Also not listed in the chart...
Gilmore 1!
Perry 0
Graham 0
Pataki 0

Article link:
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2015/08/23/us-election-latest-donald-trump-continues-dominate/

PDF
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/zvg9hui4lt/econToplines.pdf
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jfern
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« Reply #12 on: August 23, 2015, 04:27:51 PM »
Jeb has the Joementum! A 3 way tie for 3rd place!
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The Mikado
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« Reply #13 on: August 23, 2015, 04:35:12 PM »
Quote from: Likely Voter on August 23, 2015, 04:24:10 PM
Here is the chart. It appears the OP thought the lower number was the new (post debate) poll, but it was the other way around



Also not listed in the chart...
Gilmore 1!
Perry 0
Graham 0
Pataki 0

Article link:
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2015/08/23/us-election-latest-donald-trump-continues-dominate/

PDF
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/zvg9hui4lt/econToplines.pdf

This makes so much more sense.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #14 on: August 23, 2015, 04:35:44 PM »
More data from the poll:

People think Bush is the most electable Republican: 55% think he could possibly win, compared to 22% who think he could never win.

The only other Republicans who have positive scores in this are Rubio (41-28), Trump (46-38), and Walker (32-31).

Clinton is viewed as the most electable Democrat (69-18), followed by Biden (55-22) and Sanders (40-29).
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Skye
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« Reply #15 on: August 23, 2015, 04:39:19 PM »
Welp. There goes that.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #16 on: August 23, 2015, 04:52:33 PM »
Agh, that's incredibly disheartening. At least Bush is flopping badly
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jfern
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« Reply #17 on: August 23, 2015, 05:02:32 PM »
The Democratic poll is in strong agreement with the CNN poll.
Clinton both 47
Sanders 26 this poll, 29 CNN
Biden both 14
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #18 on: August 23, 2015, 05:10:43 PM »
Quote from: Srs Trump Supporter on August 23, 2015, 04:52:33 PM
Agh, that's incredibly disheartening. At least Bush is flopping badly
I don't know why you're dissapointed, this poll is fairly good news for Trump.

All 3 of the main establishment candidates are performing mediocre.  Even better for Trump, they're tied, so there's no clear candidate to rally around.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #19 on: August 23, 2015, 06:44:12 PM »
Quote from: Mehmentum on August 23, 2015, 05:10:43 PM
Quote from: Srs Trump Supporter on August 23, 2015, 04:52:33 PM
Agh, that's incredibly disheartening. At least Bush is flopping badly
I don't know why you're dissapointed, this poll is fairly good news for Trump.

All 3 of the main establishment candidates are performing mediocre.  Even better for Trump, they're tied, so there's no clear candidate to rally around.

Christie and Paul are my back-up options Wink
(Along with Huck and Graham)
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