Oregon democratic gerrymander
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  Oregon democratic gerrymander
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windjammer
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« on: August 25, 2015, 09:42:47 AM »

Anyone would be interested to draw an OR democratic gerrymander?
[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_Oregon At least since the 1960's, the governor and the state legislatures were always divided. Considering how much Oregon is trending democrat at local level, democrats will likely hold the trifecta.
Apparently to some estimations, OR might gain a seat as well in 2020.

I hope someone will be interested to draw the maps Cheesy.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2015, 05:13:07 PM »

DRA doesn't seem to have election data for Oregon sadly.
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muon2
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« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2015, 09:36:37 PM »

Here's a pair of baseline neutral maps I posted in the Census estimate thread.

OR is currently forecast to still have 5 CDs after 2020. That fits very well with the current projection of Multnomah county to have almost exactly 20% of the state population. A 5 CD split can preserve the UCCs (3 CDs for the Portland UCC) and keep whole counties with less than 2.5% deviation from the quota.



However, OR is on the bubble to gain a 6th CD, so it's useful to look at that as well. Multnomah will be too large for one CD and going south with the new CD requires chops to counties and UCCs. If the counties along the Columbia are combined with Clackamas and the remainder of Multnomah, it is possible to create a 6 CD plan that only splits Multnomah, chops no UCCs, and stays with 2.5% of the quota.


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