Who will have an easier route to the nomination?
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  Who will have an easier route to the nomination?
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Poll
Question: Huh
#1
Donald Trump
 
#2
Hillary Clinton
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 55

Author Topic: Who will have an easier route to the nomination?  (Read 919 times)
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« on: August 25, 2015, 04:06:12 PM »

Trump obviously. Hillary will probably (read: more likely than not - not that I'm not giving Biden a chance to shake up the race) get there especially cuz of super delegates, but she may lose anywhere from 2-20 states to get there.

Trump almost has every state through Super Tuesday locked up, even in a 2 horse race.
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xavier110
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« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2015, 04:07:28 PM »

Trump will win IA, NH, SC, and then nearly every state in the largely southern Super Tuesday.

Clinton, meanwhile, will definitely win fewer states.
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Torie
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« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2015, 05:17:02 PM »

Can anyone remind me of a poll that has the percentage of Pubs who are not admirers of Trump, i.e. dislike him?  That is the most important number really as time goes on, as to whether at the end of the day he can be stopped without too much fuss. If Trump wins the nomination, the election will be interesting, as presumably Trump wins over some white working class Dems in places like Toledo, while hemorrhaging a bunch of the suburban bourgeoisie and chamber of commerce Pub voters.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2015, 05:20:04 PM »

Hillary Clinton. I say this because I think that the Republican establishment might try to throw up some roadblocks for Trump even if he does secure enough delegates.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: August 25, 2015, 05:27:01 PM »

Can anyone remind me of a poll that has the percentage of Pubs who are not admirers of Trump, i.e. dislike him?

Well, CNN's latest national poll, for example, has Trump with 69% favorability / 28% unfavorability among Republican voters.  Here's his favorability among Republicans compared to some of the other candidates:

Among Republicans only:

Trump 69/28% for +41%
Fiorina 46/10% for +36%
Walker 47/14% for +33%
Kasich 36/14% for +22%
Bush 49/42% for +7%

Yougov also has this in their latest national poll:

Trump favorability among Republicans is 64/34. 66% of Republicans think that Trump could win the general election.
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Torie
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« Reply #5 on: August 25, 2015, 05:29:02 PM »

Can anyone remind me of a poll that has the percentage of Pubs who are not admirers of Trump, i.e. dislike him?

Well, CNN's latest national poll, for example, has Trump with 69% favorability / 28% unfavorability among Republican voters.  Here's his favorability among Republicans compared to some of the other candidates:

Among Republicans only:

Trump 69/28% for +41%
Fiorina 46/10% for +36%
Walker 47/14% for +33%
Kasich 36/14% for +22%
Bush 49/42% for +7%

Yougov also has this in their latest national poll:

Trump favorability among Republicans is 64/34. 66% of Republicans think that Trump could win the general election.


Sad  My party (well technically former party) has gone nutter. Anyway, thanks for the sobering info Morden.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #6 on: August 25, 2015, 06:40:57 PM »

And don't forget Bush and the lot of establishment nutjobs are way underwater in New Hampshire (and naturally Iowa!)

As I said, Trump is easily leading even head to heads, and will soon be favored in the general.
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: August 25, 2015, 06:44:31 PM »

I have my doubts that Trump's support in the polls will translate to actual votes, so Hillary Clinton.
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Figueira
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« Reply #8 on: August 25, 2015, 09:19:48 PM »

Hillary, the one who will actually win the nomination.
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Craigo
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« Reply #9 on: August 25, 2015, 09:22:16 PM »

Hillary, the one who will actually win the nomination.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: August 25, 2015, 10:57:45 PM »

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DonaldTrumpForLife
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« Reply #11 on: August 25, 2015, 10:59:06 PM »

um, sorry but the Donald is leading by a MASSIVE amount.

LETS GO TRUMP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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