NH-PPP: Ayotte and Hassan tied; Ayotte leads Pappas by 14 points
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  NH-PPP: Ayotte and Hassan tied; Ayotte leads Pappas by 14 points
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Author Topic: NH-PPP: Ayotte and Hassan tied; Ayotte leads Pappas by 14 points  (Read 2255 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: August 26, 2015, 01:58:55 PM »
« edited: August 26, 2015, 02:08:56 PM by TNvolunteer »

Ayotte (R): 44%
Hassan (D): 43%

Ayotte (R): 45%
Pappas (D): 31%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/08/ayottehassan-a-toss-up-clintonsanders-generally-lead-gop-field.html
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windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: August 26, 2015, 02:10:38 PM »

If Hassan jumps in, TOSS UP.

I still expect Ayotte to slightly overperform the republican nominee but considering NH tilts democrat, that's going to be a very close race if Hassan jumps in.
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windjammer
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« Reply #2 on: August 26, 2015, 02:50:43 PM »

If Hassan jumps in, TOSS UP.

I still expect Ayotte to slightly overperform the republican nominee but considering NH tilts democrat, that's going to be a very close race if Hassan jumps in.

It might even be "tilt/leans D" if Hassan jumps in. I just can't see how Ayotte will win enough Clinton voters to win this race. New Hampshire is not as independent or elastic as most people here seem to think.

Well, it is, but during the midterms, not the presidential election Tongue.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #3 on: August 26, 2015, 03:20:24 PM »

If Hassan jumps in, TOSS UP.

I still expect Ayotte to slightly overperform the republican nominee but considering NH tilts democrat, that's going to be a very close race if Hassan jumps in.

It might even be "tilt/leans D" if Hassan jumps in. I just can't see how Ayotte will win enough Clinton voters to win this race. New Hampshire is not as independent or elastic as most people here seem to think.

I refer you to 2004
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« Reply #4 on: August 26, 2015, 06:43:09 PM »

Come on, Hassan... Ayotte could still beat Hassan, but she'd be in for a much tougher fight than she got in 2010.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #5 on: August 26, 2015, 06:58:21 PM »

75% of people have no opinion of Pappas, and Ayotte gets the same share of the vote (44-45%) against Pappas as she does against Hassan.  This has all the signs of a name recognition lead.

I'd expect Ayotte v. Pappas to narrow significantly as the election nears.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #6 on: August 27, 2015, 06:30:48 PM »

Republicans are using the Democrats "anti-Scott Brown playbook" to define and damage Hassan

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Glorious news! Hassan is no moderate or bipartisan politician, she's a die-hard liberal. She'd just be a corrupt Hillary Clinton clone in the Senate. I'm fine with Pappas, but I can't stand the thought of a Senator Hassan.

Btw: This poll shows no gender gap at all. It's completely implausible that Ayotte's doing as well among men as she does among women (she even does better among women in a match-up with Pappas). But still.. toss-up/tilt D with Hassan, toss-up/tilt R without her.

Hassan is probably one of the least corrupt governors in the country.

I wouldn't call her "die-hard" liberal either,  maybe a left-leaning moderate.
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« Reply #7 on: August 27, 2015, 07:26:24 PM »

Hassan is probably one of the least corrupt governors in the country.

I wouldn't call her "die-hard" liberal either,  maybe a left-leaning moderate.

Made my day.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
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« Reply #8 on: August 28, 2015, 11:11:33 AM »

Republicans are using the Democrats "anti-Scott Brown playbook" to define and damage Hassan

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Glorious news! Hassan is no moderate or bipartisan politician, she's a die-hard liberal. She'd just be a corrupt Hillary Clinton clone in the Senate. I'm fine with Pappas, but I can't stand the thought of a Senator Hassan.

Btw: This poll shows no gender gap at all. It's completely implausible that Ayotte's doing as well among men as she does among women (she even does better among women in a match-up with Pappas). But still.. toss-up/tilt D with Hassan, toss-up/tilt R without her.

Hassan is probably one of the least corrupt governors in the country.

I wouldn't call her "die-hard" liberal either,  maybe a left-leaning moderate.
How would the "anti-Scott Brown" play book work on the popular incumbent governor of their state? She's not the former Governor of Massachussets running for Senate in neighboring New Hampshire.
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