NC-PPP: Burr leads Dem field by 7-8

[MT Treasurer]

Richard Burr (R): 42%
Heath Shuler (D): 35%

Richard Burr (R): 43%
Deborah Ross (D): 36%

Richard Burr (R): 44%
Chris Rey (D): 37%

Richard Burr (R): 44%
Duane Hall (D): 36%

However: Only 31% of voters approve of the job Burr's doing to 37% who disapprove.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/08/mccrory-continues-to-struggle-burr-leads-dem-field-by-7-8.html

[windjammer]

Lean rep

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I'll move my rating back to lean r if Shuler actually gets in.

[Skye]

Thom Tillis might be the most unpopular Senator in the country (28/44). Even within his own party he's at just 44% approval and with independents (23% approval) and Democrats (13% approval) he's really bad off.

Though considering he's up for re-election in 5 years, it doesn't matter too much.

[The Other Castro]

They should have polled him against Dan Blue as well.

[Gass3268]

Shuler could make this competitive.

[/]

'Tis a shame.

We need a real Democratic candidate to enter.

I'm thinking about entering the race myself, TBH.

[Xing]

Burr's not completely safe, and Democrats should at least put some effort into this race, before it's definitely too late. It's Likely R until Democrats get a candidate, but it makes sense for Democrats to invest in North Carolina. At the very least, the gubernatorial race is very winnable.

[Mehmentum]

Burr's not safe by any means.  He's well below 50 against unknown opponents, so the result largely hinges on how the campaign plays out and the general environment next year.

[ElectionsGuy]

I don't know why everyone thinks Schuler would make it any more competitive than any other D, but nonetheless, this should tighten. I expect Burr to outperform the Republican nominee but the state's polarization won't let it go by much. Leaning R as of now.