Ky. Governor's race: Who will win?
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  Ky. Governor's race: Who will win?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who will win the Kentucky's governor's election?
#1
Attorney General Jack Conway (D)		  
#2
Businessman Matt Bevin (R)		  
#3
Online writer Drew Curtis (L)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 139

Author Topic: Ky. Governor's race: Who will win?  (Read 20839 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: August 28, 2015, 10:12:45 PM »
Which candidate will win the Kentucky's governor's election in 2015? Jack Conway, the Democrat, Matt Bevin, the Republican, or Drew Curtis, the Libertarian candidate?
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2015, 10:23:48 PM »
Conway by a point or so.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2015, 10:39:08 PM »
I say polls will put Conway about a point ahead, but Bevin will surprise by winning by 5 points or more.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2015, 11:02:34 PM »
Conway by a few points.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2015, 11:04:05 PM »
Bevin
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2015, 11:44:40 PM »
I have no preference or care as to who eventually governs Kentucky, but I must say, Bevin seems like the odds-on favorite. The Republicans are up big in the down-ballot races, and PPP is the only good poll so far, and that puts Bevin up. I think this might be the end of the Kentucky Democrat - at least for a little bit.

It would be nice to finally get some polling. I agree with Maxwell. Seeing a 52-47 Bevin win here with the GOP tides swinging up ballot oddly enough. Conway's not that big of a name as bad as Bevin might be as a candidate.
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2015, 12:51:51 AM »
Hard to say with the limited polling. Gubernatorial elections are still winnable for Democrats in Kentucky, but the state's partisan lean at the federal level may be starting to bleed into statewide races. However, Conway is a much stronger candidate than Bevin, so it should be a pretty close race. I'm going to guess Conway by about two points for now, but we'll see what happens.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: August 29, 2015, 02:36:01 AM »
Conway will get swamped and people will be shocked.
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windjammer
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« Reply #8 on: August 29, 2015, 05:54:56 AM »
Quote from: Maxwell on August 28, 2015, 10:39:08 PM
I say polls will put Conway about a point ahead, but Bevin will surprise by winning by 5 points or more.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: August 29, 2015, 07:52:59 AM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on August 29, 2015, 02:36:01 AM
Conway will get swamped and people on this forum will be shocked.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #10 on: August 29, 2015, 11:51:57 AM »
Probably Bevin.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #11 on: August 29, 2015, 01:04:18 PM »
Lean Conway
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Bigby
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« Reply #12 on: August 29, 2015, 01:17:56 PM »
Bevin if the Tea Party label doesn't anchor him down heavily.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: August 30, 2015, 07:55:09 AM »

Bevin is a retread from the KY Senate race. And he was soundly def in that primary. And all state offices will be won by Dems.
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Figueira
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« Reply #14 on: August 30, 2015, 09:02:34 AM »
My guess is Bevin. I wouldn't be terribly shocked if Conway won though.
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politicus
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« Reply #15 on: August 30, 2015, 09:14:50 AM »
Bevin, but by a relatively small margin.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: August 30, 2015, 11:02:35 AM »
The key race is KY and it will tell us about Va & OH. It is a bellweather. Is appalachia  going right or is it still swingy and just as competetive as Rockies, even at presidential level.
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Donerail
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« Reply #17 on: August 30, 2015, 01:23:53 PM »
lmao the libertarians are putting up someone pulled straight from an internet comments section
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: August 30, 2015, 02:13:19 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on August 30, 2015, 12:57:53 PM
Quote from: OC on August 30, 2015, 11:02:35 AM
The key race is KY and it will tell us about Va & OH. It is a bellweather. Is appalachia  going right or is it still swingy and just as competetive as Rockies, even at presidential level.

Governor races are NEVER bellwethers. Or do you think Republicans have a shot at carrying Maryland next year? And no, Appalachia isn't going Democratic in 2016.

Conway & Strickland are pretty similar; pro gun rights and running against similar guys in Portman and Bevin. Not so scary republicans.
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mds32
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« Reply #19 on: August 30, 2015, 02:18:28 PM »
If a majority on here are now saying Bevin is going to win I think everyone should go and change their predictions to the KY Governor race. If you say he is going to win then why continue to forecast the opposite?
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madelka
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« Reply #20 on: August 30, 2015, 02:28:36 PM »
Quote from: mds32 on August 30, 2015, 02:18:28 PM
If a majority on here are now saying Bevin is going to win I think everyone should go and change their predictions to the KY Governor race. If you say he is going to win then why continue to forecast the opposite?

It's still a close race. Also, why would you even care?
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mds32
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« Reply #21 on: August 30, 2015, 03:26:44 PM »
Quote from: madelka on August 30, 2015, 02:28:36 PM
Quote from: mds32 on August 30, 2015, 02:18:28 PM
If a majority on here are now saying Bevin is going to win I think everyone should go and change their predictions to the KY Governor race. If you say he is going to win then why continue to forecast the opposite?

It's still a close race. Also, why would you even care?

It is a observation.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: August 30, 2015, 04:56:36 PM »
« Edited: August 30, 2015, 05:04:52 PM by OC »
The GOP usually has wide leads along the lines of the way McConnell won last yr. Since it is within margin of error; dems have a chance. So far Bevin cant break away. So, Conway will pull it off then.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #23 on: September 01, 2015, 10:57:51 AM »
I think Bevin will win, and he will quickly surpass even Sam Brownback to become the United States' most incompetent governor.

I wouldn't rule out nor would I be surprised by a Conway win, however, I just think that the Republican trend finally catches-up to statewide elections in KY this year. 
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #24 on: September 01, 2015, 11:02:08 AM »
Quote from: mds32 on August 30, 2015, 03:26:44 PM
Quote from: madelka on August 30, 2015, 02:28:36 PM
Quote from: mds32 on August 30, 2015, 02:18:28 PM
If a majority on here are now saying Bevin is going to win I think everyone should go and change their predictions to the KY Governor race. If you say he is going to win then why continue to forecast the opposite?

It's still a close race. Also, why would you even care?

It is a observation.

Most people put on their partisan hopeful glasses until they catch up to reality in the last few days.
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