Ky. Governor's race: Who will win? (user search)
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  Ky. Governor's race: Who will win? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who will win the Kentucky's governor's election?
#1
Attorney General Jack Conway (D)
 
#2
Businessman Matt Bevin (R)
 
#3
Online writer Drew Curtis (L)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 139

Author Topic: Ky. Governor's race: Who will win?  (Read 20926 times)
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« on: August 28, 2015, 10:23:48 PM »

Conway by a point or so.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2015, 08:16:35 PM »

I'll go out on a limb and say Bevin has about a 75% chance of victory.  We need to learn our lessons from what happened to Grimes.

Has Conway repeated any of Grimes's mistakes?
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2015, 05:09:41 PM »

Bevin. I'm done getting burned by deceptively "close" Kentucky races. Conway (2010) and Grimes were supposed to keep it close even if they lost, and both ended up getting blown out of the water by double digits. I'm expecting a similar outcome this time.

Conway in 2010 and Grimes in 2014 were clearly declining in the polls in the final weeks. That hasn't started happening with this race.
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