Utah poll: Trump only leads Clinton 54-46
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  Utah poll: Trump only leads Clinton 54-46
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Author Topic: Utah poll: Trump only leads Clinton 54-46  (Read 1836 times)
madelka
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« on: August 29, 2015, 02:31:57 PM »
« edited: August 29, 2015, 03:04:21 PM by madelka »

Utah voters would prefer Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical 2016 showdown, according to a new online poll conducted by Brigham Young University.

Trump, the real estate billionaire and reality TV celebrity, received the support of 54 percent of respondents, while Clinton, the former secretary of state, received 46 percent.

http://www.sltrib.com/home/2878985-155/new-poll-says-donald-trump-would
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Ljube
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« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2015, 02:38:16 PM »

54-46 is not a battleground state.
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Skye
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« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2015, 02:47:17 PM »

So while the Republicans trail by a smaller margin in NH, that one isn't a battle state while Utah is?

Help me understand your logic.
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madelka
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« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2015, 02:56:13 PM »
« Edited: August 29, 2015, 03:08:51 PM by madelka »

So while the Republicans trail by a smaller margin in NH, that one isn't a battle state while Utah is?

Help me understand your logic.

Both states will be battlegrounds if Trump wins the nomination but Clinton is favored to win New Hampshire if she's competitive in utah. This poll proves that Trump would lose Goldwater style. Keep in mind that Utah voted for Romney 73-25!
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madelka
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« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2015, 02:58:35 PM »

54-46 is not a battleground state.

But it is very close. Utah was the most Republican state in 2012.
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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2015, 03:16:01 PM »

So while the Republicans trail by a smaller margin in NH, that one isn't a battle state while Utah is?

Help me understand your logic.

Both states will be battlegrounds if Trump wins the nomination but Clinton is favored to win New Hampshire if she's competitive in utah. This poll proves that Trump would lose Goldwater style. Keep in mind that Utah voted for Romney 73-25!
So what about that poll that put Trump leading Clinton in Michigan? That poll is junk but this one isn't?
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Fuzzy Stands With His Friend, Chairman Sanchez
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« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2015, 06:10:46 PM »

LOL. Neither NH nor UT will be "battelground" states in 2016 if Trump wins the Republican nomination, even though NH would obviously be more competitive in such a case.

Utah will not be a battleground state, but I bet Trump carries it by less than any Republican since Nixon in 1968.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #7 on: August 29, 2015, 08:25:52 PM »

Interesting.  I can see how Trump would have trouble connecting with Mormons given his lifestyle.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #8 on: August 29, 2015, 09:32:52 PM »

I can see how Trump would have trouble connecting with Mormons given his lifestyle.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: August 29, 2015, 09:49:05 PM »

>online poll
>University poll
>UT poll
>Brigham Young poll
>no undecideds


YouGov got results close to the national average in 2012. I wasn't going to accept its polls... but those polls proved better than anyone else's.

University poll? We have some already -- Quinnipiac, Roanoke, Marquette University Law School, and (likely soon enough) Marist and Siena.

Brigham Young University has an excellent reputation for academics other than those in which LDS theology might interfere.

Utah? How patient are you?

http://utahvoterpoll.org/documents/2015%20August%20UVP%20Topline.pdf

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Utah is profoundly conservative. 58% of Utah voters consider themselves "conservative". But know well: the powerful LDS Church is strong enough to break a Republican candidacy. Not a Mormon, I cannot predict what the LDS hierarchy would do if Trump were the GOP nominee. I doubt that it would give a sympathetic endorsement to him.

Democrats can call Donald Trump for his involvement with gambling casinos... which also imply smoking, liquor, bawdy shows, and even prostitution, all of which offend Mormon sensibilities.

Maybe this is not so ridiculous as it seems if it were a generic Republican against a generic Democrat.  Trump has baggage, and this baggage is not the sort that a bellhop delivers to a room. 



http://www.sltrib.com/home/2878985-155/new-poll-says-donald-trump-would
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