2020 Guessing Game: What causes this realignment?

[Bigby]

Guess what happens between 2015 and the 2020 election to make this Presidential election happen.

[Maxwell]

President Donald Trump runs for re-election and basically wins the white vote, but faces a liberal white challenge from Senator Angus King. Meanwhile, the Democrats nominate Julian Castro, who runs the most liberal campaign and is portrayed as anti-white. Castro beats Gavin Newsom for the nomination, which further puts white voters in the Trump camp.

[Bigby]

President Donald Trump runs for re-election and basically wins the white vote, but faces a liberal white challenge from Senator Angus King. Meanwhile, the Democrats nominate Julian Castro, who runs the most liberal campaign and is portrayed as anti-white. Castro beats Gavin Newsom for the nomination, which further puts white voters in the Trump camp.

That's very right on the money, actually.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

President Donald Trump runs for re-election and basically wins the white vote, but faces a liberal white challenge from Senator Angus King. Meanwhile, the Democrats nominate Julian Castro, who runs the most liberal campaign and is portrayed as anti-white. Castro beats Gavin Newsom for the nomination, which further puts white voters in the Trump camp.

That's very right on the money, actually.

It would definitely be an interesting scenario to see. I could see Illinois being slightly lighter among other things (maybe the Northeast being lighter overall as well), but it's very good overall.

[Bigby]

President Donald Trump runs for re-election and basically wins the white vote, but faces a liberal white challenge from Senator Angus King. Meanwhile, the Democrats nominate Julian Castro, who runs the most liberal campaign and is portrayed as anti-white. Castro beats Gavin Newsom for the nomination, which further puts white voters in the Trump camp.

That's very right on the money, actually.

It's a PV landslide and a realignment afterall, so some 40% states would potentially flip back afterwards.

It would definitely be an interesting scenario to see. I could see Illinois being slightly lighter among other things (maybe the Northeast being lighter overall as well), but it's very good overall.

[/]

Angus King happens.