Will Trump win the black vote?
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  Will Trump win the black vote?		 « previous next »
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#1
Yes, by a huge margin.		  
#2
Yes, by a moderate margin		  
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Author Topic: Will Trump win the black vote?  (Read 5842 times)
Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
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« on: September 02, 2015, 07:30:14 AM »
Given that the Democratic party is set to nominate a geriatric white lizard woman, could Trump win a majority of the black vote in 2016?  It certainly seems plausible. Trump is an aspirational figure for many black Americans. He's become something of a rap icon of late, his name being synonymous with power and financial success. The Donald is a straight-talker, a gangster, a baller by anyone's standards. What self-respecting African-American is going to go into the voting booth and pull the lever for Hillary when The Donald is on the ballot? 
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2015, 08:50:10 AM »
Casinos in IN are a huge success, but no.
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Republican Michigander
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« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2015, 09:20:01 AM »
He'll win the black vote if he ran as a democrat.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #3 on: September 02, 2015, 09:25:17 AM »
1.Whether he actually wins it or not, he'll say that he won it.

2.You are aware that Donald Trump is a year older the Hillary Rodham Clinton?
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: September 02, 2015, 09:29:51 AM »
No. And he won't win it in the primaries either (Carson will).
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RI
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« Reply #5 on: September 02, 2015, 09:39:01 AM »
I don't know if blacks will vote for him, but the blacks will.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #6 on: September 02, 2015, 09:41:13 AM »
Quote from: Wulfric on September 02, 2015, 09:29:51 AM
No. And he won't win it in the primaries either (Carson will).
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Ljube
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« Reply #7 on: September 02, 2015, 10:21:44 AM »
I suspect he'll run with Carson as his VP pick, so I think such duo could win something around 20%, maybe even 30% of the black vote in the general.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #8 on: September 02, 2015, 10:39:25 AM »
Moderator -- this troll thread deserves deletion.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #9 on: September 02, 2015, 11:21:33 AM »
No....but. In states where the GOP is tough on immigration, the GOP does slightly better with the black vote. Pete Wilson in 1994 got 20% of the black vote. A tough on immigration position will increase the share of black votes, but not by much.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #10 on: September 02, 2015, 11:23:33 AM »
He'd do better than in 2008 or 2012, but getting the GOP back to the 10-15% range among blacks isn't much of an improvement from the current 5% range.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: September 02, 2015, 11:31:03 AM »
You mean in the primaries or the general election?  He might win a plurality of the black vote in the Republican primaries.  The latest poll of Georgia included 7 blacks who indicated that they would vote in the Republican primary, 4 of them backing Trump:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=217164.msg4685094#msg4685094
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Crumpets
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« Reply #12 on: September 02, 2015, 12:00:08 PM »
Write in: yes, by a yooge margin!
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136or142
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« Reply #13 on: September 02, 2015, 12:43:23 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on September 02, 2015, 10:21:44 AM
I suspect he'll run with Carson as his VP pick, so I think such duo could win something around 20%, maybe even 30% of the black vote in the general.


Suggesting black people would vote for a candidate just because that person also happens to be black is (one) reason why Republicans get only 5-10% of the black vote.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: September 02, 2015, 12:52:34 PM »
He said he'd never raise the min wage; just wont cut it with minority voters.
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Ljube
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« Reply #15 on: September 02, 2015, 03:15:39 PM »
Quote from: Adam T on September 02, 2015, 12:43:23 PM
Quote from: Ljube on September 02, 2015, 10:21:44 AM
I suspect he'll run with Carson as his VP pick, so I think such duo could win something around 20%, maybe even 30% of the black vote in the general.


Suggesting black people would vote for a candidate just because that person also happens to be black is (one) reason why Republicans get only 5-10% of the black vote.

Republicans get 5% when the democratic candidate for President is black and they get 10 to 13% when the democratic candidate is white.

Obviously, when the republican candidate is black, they should get at least some of tho black democratic vote and i don't expect them to get many - let's say around 20% total. That's not more than 10% of the normal black democratic vote switching sides and voting for a black candidate. That seems very reasonable to me. Plus Trump is well liked by blacks anyway.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #16 on: September 02, 2015, 03:51:11 PM »
Quote from: bobloblaw on September 02, 2015, 11:21:33 AM
No....but. In states where the GOP is tough on immigration, the GOP does slightly better with the black vote. Pete Wilson in 1994 got 20% of the black vote. A tough on immigration position will increase the share of black votes, but not by much.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #17 on: September 02, 2015, 03:58:01 PM »
If this is a serious question, the answer is no.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #18 on: September 02, 2015, 04:24:01 PM »
« Edited: September 02, 2015, 05:05:34 PM by ElectionsGuy »
Yeah, he'll win them by -85 points.
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Chunk Yogurt for President!
CELTICEMPIRE
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« Reply #19 on: September 02, 2015, 04:27:55 PM »
Quote from: The Mikado on September 02, 2015, 11:23:33 AM
He'd do better than in 2008 or 2012, but getting the GOP back to the 10-15% range among blacks isn't much of an improvement from the current 5% range.

Actually that's a big improvement.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #20 on: September 02, 2015, 05:01:43 PM »
Yes.  Didn't you hear?  As Trump himself said, he has a great relationship with blacks!

Trump will win African Americans by a landslide once they hear how great of a relationship Trump has with them. 
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #21 on: September 02, 2015, 08:57:23 PM »
[quote]
 Plus Trump is well liked by blacks anyway.
[quote]

Well of course he is, some of his best friends are black.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #22 on: September 02, 2015, 09:12:45 PM »
Quote from: Carpetbagger on September 02, 2015, 04:27:55 PM
Quote from: The Mikado on September 02, 2015, 11:23:33 AM
He'd do better than in 2008 or 2012, but getting the GOP back to the 10-15% range among blacks isn't much of an improvement from the current 5% range.

Actually that's a big improvement.

equates to about 1% in the NPV
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #23 on: September 02, 2015, 10:29:52 PM »
This thread:
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Badger
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« Reply #24 on: September 03, 2015, 07:21:50 AM »
Of course not. Don't be silly.
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