Will Trump win the black vote? (user search)
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  Will Trump win the black vote? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: See above
#1
Yes, by a huge margin.
 
#2
Yes, by a moderate margin
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 32

Author Topic: Will Trump win the black vote?  (Read 5866 times)
bobloblaw
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,018
« on: September 02, 2015, 11:21:33 AM »

No....but. In states where the GOP is tough on immigration, the GOP does slightly better with the black vote. Pete Wilson in 1994 got 20% of the black vote. A tough on immigration position will increase the share of black votes, but not by much.
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bobloblaw
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,018
« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2015, 09:12:45 PM »

He'd do better than in 2008 or 2012, but getting the GOP back to the 10-15% range among blacks isn't much of an improvement from the current 5% range.

Actually that's a big improvement.

equates to about 1% in the NPV
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