Will Trump win the black vote? (user search)
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  Will Trump win the black vote? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: See above
#1
Yes, by a huge margin.
 
#2
Yes, by a moderate margin
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 32

Author Topic: Will Trump win the black vote?  (Read 5881 times)
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,067
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« on: September 02, 2015, 10:21:44 AM »

I suspect he'll run with Carson as his VP pick, so I think such duo could win something around 20%, maybe even 30% of the black vote in the general.
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,067
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2015, 03:15:39 PM »

I suspect he'll run with Carson as his VP pick, so I think such duo could win something around 20%, maybe even 30% of the black vote in the general.


Suggesting black people would vote for a candidate just because that person also happens to be black is (one) reason why Republicans get only 5-10% of the black vote.

Republicans get 5% when the democratic candidate for President is black and they get 10 to 13% when the democratic candidate is white.

Obviously, when the republican candidate is black, they should get at least some of tho black democratic vote and i don't expect them to get many - let's say around 20% total. That's not more than 10% of the normal black democratic vote switching sides and voting for a black candidate. That seems very reasonable to me. Plus Trump is well liked by blacks anyway.
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