ARG Polling: Oct. '15 Presidential Election - Results for Aug 28-Sep 2 Polls

[Leinad]

And the results are in...

Declared Candidates:

(Note: since the poll was released, Kalwejt has declared his candidacy)

RG Adam Griffin (Lab-GA) 48.5%
Legislator Clarence (Fed-FL) 39.4%
Undecided 12.1%

Sample size: 33 (39.8% of turnout in last national election, 28.2% of turnout in last presidential election, 22.4% of current population)

Margin of error: +/- 15.07%

Possible Candidates:

RG Adam Griffin (Lab-GA) 24.2%
Legislator Clarence (Fed-FL) 21.2%
Justice Oakvale (NNP-DE) 18.2%
Governor Simfan (TPP-CA) 12.1%
Senator Lumine (CR-UT) 9.1%
Senator Cris (CR-KS) 6.1%
Senator Kalwejt (Lab-OH) 3%
Governor Windjammer (Lab-MI) 3%
VP Cincinnatus (TPP-NY) 3%

Total Labor Party 30.2%
Total Federalist Party 21.2%
Total Northeast Nat'l Party 18.2%
Total Civic Renewal 15.2%
Total The People's Party 15.1%

Sample size: 33 (39.8% of turnout in last national election, 28.2% of turnout in last presidential election, 22.4% of current population)

Margin of error: +/- 15.07%

Commentary: I'd be willing to guess the 6/33 Oakvale votes are mostly joke votes, given that he asked not to be included in these polls in the future. Surely he doesn't have as much support as Cris, Lumine, and Kalwejt combined...right? Either way, he won't run, so he won't be in the next poll unless he says otherwise. Duke, however, will be. Any other requests will most likely be granted as well.

Favorability

(Sorted by net favorability, then by gross favorability.)

                                               Favorable - Unfavorable - Unsure  -  Net

Senator Cris (CR-KS)             +60.9%   -30.4%   ?8.7%     +30.5%
Legislator Clarence (Fed-FL) +56.5%   -17.4%   ?26.1%   +30.4%
RG Adam Griffin (Lab-GA)     +47.8%   -30.4%   ?21.7%   +26.1%
VP Cincinnatus (TPP-NY)      +43.5%   -21.7%   ?34.8%   +21.8%
Governor Simfan (TPP-CA)   +47.8%   -26.1%   ?26.1%   +21.7%
Senator Lumine (CR-UT)       +52.2%   -43.5%   ?4.3%     +8.7%
Senator Kalwejt (Lab-OH)     +43.5%   -34.8%   ?21.7%   +8.7%
Justice Oakvale (NNP-DE)     +52.2%   -47.8%   ?0.0%     +4.4%
Gov. Windjammer (Lab-MI)  +34.8%   -47.8%   ?17.4%   -13.0%

Sample size: 23 (27.7% of turnout in last national election, 19.7% of turnout in last presidential election, 15.6% of current population)

Margin of error: +/- 18.83%


Analysis, suggestions, questions, criticisms, compliments, job offers, muffin recipes, large sums of money, parking permits, etc.?