MN-2. Kline to retire.

[OwlRhetoric]

Thought this one deserves a bump because it might be competitive, and the primary is next week. Only the GOP has a competitive primary race, and I'm not sure how "competitive" it really is.

Jason Lewis won the CD-2 Republican endorsement at their district convention earlier this summer. He's a former talk radio guy being supported by Trump people and some rump libertarian/Cruz Republicans. However, Darlene Miller is being supported by Kline and what you'd probably call the local GOP establishment. Lots of my friends in CD2 are receiving slick mailers attacking Lewis over his support for the Iran deal and other things.

I still think Lewis will win, and go on to face DFL's Angie Craig in November. Wouldn't bet on it, though, since this primary is bound to be very sparsely attended.

Would be good to see some GE polling. Kline always won CD2 by pretty solid margins, but it could flip, especially if Trump gets beaten badly in southern Minnesota.

[OwlRhetoric]

If Lewis wins the primary, Craig has this race.

He did win, and I'd consider it more of a toss up, slight (D) edge, mainly because Craig is sitting on so much money. I know a lot of people in this district and go down there quite often. It's very much a purple district with some very conservative demographics. Overby the independent is running again too, and third parties routinely pull 2-5%, mostly from Democrats.

Hopefully we'll get a poll or two in the future to see how things are leaning.