MI-MRG: Clinton in close race with Bush, Fiorina, and Trump

[eric82oslo]

Remember, y'all, this is the SECOND straight poll of Michigan that has Hillary losing.  Is any poll with bad news for HRC a junk poll now?  Face it, Michigan is a state that has the potential to rapidly trend towards the GOP, along with the rest of the Rust Belt.  This could be a conceivable 2028 or 2032 map (sorry, I don't know how to change EVs), but Michigan could be in play this time around:

What you're forgetting is that both Arizona, Texas and Georgia will be voting Democratic by 2032 (and Arizona very heavily so). Arizona will at the latest flip either in 2016 or 2020. I'd bet 30,000$ on that. I know I'm not Romney, but today I decided to be. (Mississippi and Alaska might as well be, even South Carolina.)

Other than that, I don't disagree with your prediction at all, concerning the north.

[eric82oslo]

MRG poll of Michigan, conducted Sept. 9-14:

http://mrgmi.com/2015/09/hillary-takes-a-hit/

Bush 40%
Clinton 39%

Fiorina 40%
Clinton 39%

Clinton 43%
Trump 40%

Since Bush is currently 4th or 5th nationally, this poll gives us a D+1%.
Weird they didn't care to poll neither Carson nor Rubio. (Nor Paul who is a real darling of Michiganders.)