MI-MRG: Clinton in close race with Bush, Fiorina, and Trump

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Remember, Michigan was a battleground state in 2004.

McCain publicly gave up on the state in 2008 (plus there was a huge democratic wave) and in 2012, Romney's position on the auto bailout hurt him a lot. It could snap back to a 4, 5 point margin fairly easily. But Clinton probably won't lose it.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Fun fact: almost exactly four years ago, MRG put Obama only 1 point ahead of Romney in Michigan.  Over a year later he went on to win it by nearly 10 points, of course.

And maybe that's what would have happened if the election had occurred in September 2011. Obama's approval on September 23, 2011 was 43/51 per RCP. On election day 2012, it was much better - 50/47.