Who is more likely to win GOP nomination?

[Senator Cris]

Average of 4 post-debate polls (Gravis, Morning Consult, CNN, NBC):

Christie 4%
Walker 1.75%

[Crumpets]

I say Walker. He has a greater than zero chance of winning Iowa, while Christie's only hope is in New Hampshire, where he's currently in ninth place.

[/]

Kris Kristie

[Stranger in a strange land]

At this point, Christie, because he could be the last man standing for the Establishment Wing, though as of today, both have a <1% chance.

[7,052,770]

Christie, because I think he's going to do it.

[mencken]

Christie has to go back in time three years and tell Obama to shove it instead of hugging him. Walker's path to the nomination is tied to progress in neural stem cell research within the next few months. I think Christie's path is slightly more plausible.

[NeverAgain]

Chris (Stop Ambulances From Saving People) Christie.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Walker's path to the nomination is tied to progress in neural stem cell research within the next few months.

Err, false. People don't care about the issues, particularly that. Christie just needs to tell Bush off in a debate and reassert himself as the alpha male of the establishment.

[Maxwell]

Christie for sure, at this point.

[Bull Moose Base]

Jesus Christie, Atlas. Obviously Walker, whose positions and record, are much more in line with the party mainstream, who has appeal in more states and a much better chance in an early state.

[Bigby]

The guy who is not at 0 percent in the newest polls.

[Ljube]

I'm starting to think that Christie just might do it.

[Maxwell]

Jesus Christie, Atlas. Obviously Walker, whose positions and record, are much more in line with the party mainstream, who has appeal in more states and a much better chance in an early state.

Here's the problem with that - that's why Walker led the race early on. What's been happening is that Walker's campaign has shown why all of his on paper strengths don't matter when he's basically an empty suit and a very weak political operator (and so obviously not ready for prime time). For all of Christie's on paper weaknesses - his distance from the base, his corruption - he's a fundamentally stronger politician. That's why Christie is starting to come back and Walker has almost completely vanished as a contender, falling from top dog to 0%.

[Horsemask]

I'd say Christie.

[/]

At this point, Walker is clearly the favorite

[Bull Moose Base]

Jesus Christie, Atlas. Obviously Walker, whose positions and record, are much more in line with the party mainstream, who has appeal in more states and a much better chance in an early state.

I still say I was right! Walker dropping out is just one more dumb thing he's done. I still maintain Pawlenty would have been the nominee in 2012 had he not dropped out in August. Iowa was wide open days before the caucus. It's very fluid and Walker still had a chance to win it if, like with Santorum, all the fads  collapsed. Anyway, Christie isn't far behind.

[Mr. Morden]

Jesus Christie, Atlas. Obviously Walker, whose positions and record, are much more in line with the party mainstream, who has appeal in more states and a much better chance in an early state.

I still say I was right! Walker dropping out is just one more dumb thing he's done. I still maintain Pawlenty would have been the nominee in 2012 had he not dropped out in August. Iowa was wide open days before the caucus. It's very fluid and Walker still had a chance to win it if, like with Santorum, all the fads  collapsed. Anyway, Christie isn't far behind.

Hard for me to say from the outside if this was stupid or not, as I still think this was most likely tied to the apparent turmoil inside the campaign, the exact shape of which is hard to get a read on.  I guess, as noted in the other thread, there was some kind of rumor being spread about his campaign manager, Rick Wiley, but we don't know what it is.  Would it coming out have ensnared Walker?  Would Walker be lost without Wiley?  Did he know he was going to have to cut Wiley loose, and just said "screw it, I quit", rather than do so?

[Kingpoleon]

Jesus Christie, Atlas. Obviously Walker, whose positions and record, are much more in line with the party mainstream, who has appeal in more states and a much better chance in an early state.

I still say I was right! Walker dropping out is just one more dumb thing he's done. I still maintain Pawlenty would have been the nominee in 2012 had he not dropped out in August. Iowa was wide open days before the caucus. It's very fluid and Walker still had a chance to win it if, like with Santorum, all the fads  collapsed. Anyway, Christie isn't far behind.

You aren't wrong about Pawlenty. He was freaking third in the Iowa Ames Straw Poll as an establishment-backed candidate.