Walker out: who benefits most?

[Senator Cris]

Discuss.

[pbrower2a]

Jeb Bush, as Walker was an Establishment candidate.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I don't think it really benefits anyone in terms of votes (polling at 0% sure doesn't help lol) but in terms of infrastructure it seems now a tie between Rubio and Bush.

[Senator Cris]

In Iowa, Cruz, Christie and Rubio are picking up some Walker support.
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/cruz-christie-pick-walker-supporters-iowa_1034378.html?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=TWSAutoTweet

[Angel of Death]

This is just another piece of good news for Marco Rubio, for he's clearly the anti-Bush among establishment candidates now (not counting Fiorina as one).

[Why]

what is 0/15?

[136or142]

I don't know if this is a help or a hinderance, but now that John Kasich is the only midwesterner remaining in the race, there might be added pressure on him to compete in Iowa.  I know Ohio isn't super close to Iowa, but he's still the closest thing to a native son.

[Blair]

Rubio-I get the impression that Christie, Rubio, Walker and Kasich are running an ABB campaign

[Mister Mets]

In the short term, Kasich and Christie benefit the most, since this means they're more likely to stay in the top ten.

There was an overlap between Rubio and Walker, so he benefits too. It's also a case study in the Rubio as everyone's second choice theory.

One less Governor is arguably good news for Jeb, since Republicans who prize executive experience now have less choices.

[Bull Moose Base]

The reason Walker is out is because the benefit already happened when his supporters went elsewhere, mostly to Trump and Carson.

[Mr. Morden]

The reason Walker is out is because the benefit already happened when his supporters went elsewhere, mostly to Trump and Carson.

Of course, Walker had hardly any supporters left to swing to other candidates.  But you yourself said yesterday that Walker was dumb for dropping out:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=219531.msg4733950#msg4733950

I assume that means that you think that there was at least some remote chance of a Walker rebound?  So he may not have been at 0% polling support, but he was still above 0% in probability to win the nomination.  So those probability points have to go somewhere.

[ShadowRocket]

I think Rubio as he fulfills a similar niche. Perhaps also to a lesser extent Kasich and Christie.

[WVdemocrat]

Rubio.

[Clark Kent]

Rubio, of course

[Kingpoleon]

New Hampshire. Walker had the biggest infrastructure there in hopes of gaining momentum from Iowa and cutting his way to New Hampshire. Whoever seizes his people there wins.

[FLgirl]

New Hampshire. Walker had the biggest infrastructure there in hopes of gaining momentum from Iowa and cutting his way to New Hampshire. Whoever seizes his people there wins.

Rubio got Walker's New Hampshire state chairman, Cliff Hurst.

[Bull Moose Base]

The reason Walker is out is because the benefit already happened when his supporters went elsewhere, mostly to Trump and Carson.

Of course, Walker had hardly any supporters left to swing to other candidates.  But you yourself said yesterday that Walker was dumb for dropping out:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=219531.msg4733950#msg4733950

I assume that means that you think that there was at least some remote chance of a Walker rebound?  So he may not have been at 0% polling support, but he was still above 0% in probability to win the nomination.  So those probability points have to go somewhere.

Yes, you're right. Spread around but I'll agree with the consensus that Rubio benefits disproportionately, maybe his chances go up 2%, Bush, Kasich, Cruz, Fiorina, Huckabee, Carson 1.

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Jeb Bush, as Walker was an Establishment candidate.

Walker was a Tea Party aligned candidate. It helped the one who treads between both factions. That happens to be Marco Rubio.