SUSA: Conway still up by 5!!!
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  SUSA: Conway still up by 5!!!
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Author Topic: SUSA: Conway still up by 5!!!  (Read 5982 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: October 02, 2015, 09:26:02 PM »

Why is Grimes being way ahead expected?

Because her opponent is absolutely horrible.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #26 on: October 03, 2015, 07:12:15 AM »

The downballot results:

SOS:
Grimes (D) - 46%
Knipper (R) - 38%

AG
Beshear (D) - 38%
Westerfield (R) - 38%

Auditor
Edelen (D)- 35%
Harmon (R)- 33%

Treasurer
Ball (R) - 35%
Nelson (D) - 33%

Ag. Commissioner
Quarles (R) - 34%
Spann (D) - 31%


Ouch, terrible numbers for the Dems. And lol@Grimes leading by 8.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: October 03, 2015, 08:41:41 AM »

Ouch, terrible numbers for the Dems. And lol@Grimes leading by 8.

Grimes isn't going to lose. Period.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #28 on: October 03, 2015, 01:47:50 PM »

SUSA polls in KY aren't the best, but the problem is that we really don't have anything else to work with at this point. Hard to call this race anything but a toss-up, due to uncertainty.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #29 on: October 05, 2015, 05:06:48 PM »

Conway is likely leading. Bevin is a retread from the 2014 KY gov race.
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #30 on: October 10, 2015, 10:04:28 PM »

They're calling La too LR since its an offyear election. Same with MO gov and OH sen. Dems are tied or leading. Sabato needs to reevaluate  his methology, because Dems are winning.

Is an R ever seriously leading with you. EVER?

PLEASE stop hacking. Take the weekend off. Thank you.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #31 on: October 10, 2015, 10:07:18 PM »

They're calling La too LR since its an offyear election. Same with MO gov and OH sen. Dems are tied or leading. Sabato needs to reevaluate  his methology, because Dems are winning.

Is an R ever seriously leading with you. EVER?

PLEASE stop hacking. Take the weekend off. Thank you.

Apparently never. His final 2014 prediction had Pryor winning.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #32 on: October 10, 2015, 10:31:16 PM »
« Edited: October 10, 2015, 10:33:06 PM by OC »

All the polls had Dems overstating the polls in 2014, but AR had Beebe winning winning and I was hoping Pryor would upset.

If you look at user predictions, alot of users have Edwards winning.

Sabato also has OH Senate as LR and Strickland has been leading in polls. Its no worse than a tossup.

Its a user prediction stop taking it seriously, we want to max all our gains in both parties.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #33 on: October 10, 2015, 10:36:01 PM »

All the polls had Dems overstating the polls in 2014, but AR had Beebe winning winning and I was hoping Pryor would upset.

If you look at user predictions, alot of users have Edwards winning.

Sabato also has OH Senate as LR and Strickland has been leading in polls. Its no worse than a tossup.

Its a user prediction stop taking it seriously, we want to max all our gains in both parties.

User predictions right before the election are supposed to be what you think will happen based on concrete reasoning, not what you want to happen
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #34 on: October 10, 2015, 10:43:05 PM »

Edwards is leading and so is Strickland and he has both as Tilt R.
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