Biden/Biden
270: Vice Pres. Joe Biden(D-DE)/Sec. Julian Castro(D-TX)
268: Sen. Marco Rubio(R-FL)/Gov. John Kasich(R-OH)
Conventions:
Democratic:
Keynote: Gavin Newsom: Energizing speech, immigration, social
Nominating: Tom Vilsack
Vice: Julian Castro: Slightly lackluster
Nominating: Robert Biden
Presidential: Joe Biden
Republican:
Keynote: Susanna Martinez: Minority Outreach, Criminal Justice Reform, conservative values
Nominating: Mia Love
Vice: John Kasich: Energetic, shines, budget
Nominating: George P. Bush
Presidential: Marco Rubio
Debates:
1st(Economic): Rubio(51%) - Biden(47%): Lean R, Policy
2nd(Social): Biden(55%) - Rubio(43%): Likely D, Emotion
1.b(V. Pres.): Kasich(58%) - Castro(39%): Safe R, Policy-Personal
3rd(Foreign): Rubio(47%) - Biden(46%): Toss-up, Policy
Senate:
Colorado: Josh Penry(49%) - Michael Bennet(48%)
Illinois: Alexi Giannoulius(58%) - Mark Kirk(40%)
Iowa: Chuck Grassley(54%) - Chet Culver(45%
Nevada: Greg Brower(49%) - Catherine Mastro(48%)
New Hamphire: Chris Pappas(52%) - Kelly Ayotte(47%)
Ohio: Rob Portman(51%) - Tim Ryan(48%)
Pennsylvania: Pat Toomey(52%) - Katie McGinty(47%)
Wisconsin: Russ Feingold(50%) - Ron Johnson(49%)
R+2
D+4
48 + 2= 50 D + VP