Fun Fact: PA is Just as Much of a Swing State as OH, IA, or CO

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

And more of a true swing state than FL or NC.  But, Atlas seems to forget that because of some mythological 'blue wall'.

So...

How do you figure that? PA has a record of being 2.5% more Democratic than the country for more than 30 years, and has only been won by the GOP once in nearly 30 years?

A swing state suggests that it needs to be won by the other party with a degree of regularity to be called a true swing state.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

If you follow the nominal votes in PA,  it would seem it's trended Democratic over the last 20 years.

It's position relative to the nation as a whole is important. That trend is pretty bloody consistent - it's been reliably more Democratic than the nation as a whole, even when the GOP won it. Long story short if the Democrat wins the national popular vote, they're almost certainly winning PA and they'd likely lost the PV by a decent margin to lose PA. Yes, 2012 was a weird outcome but that doesn't make a trend, yet.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Yeah - but given what you've been posting recently, and its occasionally shrill tone, you would think things have improved.