Quinnipiac: Dems lead in FL, Toomey up big in PA, Strickland leads Portman in OH

[Skye]

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps10082015_Snw94cr.pdf

FL:

Murphy 37
DeSantis 30

Murphy 37
Lopez-Cantera: 29

Grayson 37
DeSantis 31

Grayson 35
Lopez-Cantera 32

Ohio:

Strickman 46
Portman 43

Portman 49
Sittenfeld 27

Pennsylvania:

Toomey 49
Sestak 34

Toomey 51
McGinty 31

[Miles]

Exactly the same OH result as the Democratic internal from yesterday.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Strickland is the strongest challengers, this race is going to be a pickup; despite most pundits having it LR rating.

[MT Treasurer]

Toomey's ceiling is 42%. Republicans simply can't win Pennsylvania in a presidential year. Heck, the GOP has a better chance of picking up the open seat in CA than keeping this seat in Republican hands.

[ElectionsGuy]

I would be thoroughly shocked if Strickman defeats Portman.

[Nyvin]

Why didn't the FL poll include Jolly???    Weird.   

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Those Florida polls strike me as near-useless with everyone in the 30s. Murphy can get over 50% when the numbers settle, Grayson can't.

[DavidB.]

Toomey's ceiling is 42%.

Where do you get this particular percentage from?

[Maxwell]

Toomey's ceiling is 42%.

Where do you get this particular percentage from?

He's mocking one of our notable posters who actually said Toomey had a worse chance than a Republican in the California Senate race.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I would be thoroughly shocked if Strickman defeats Portman.


Well hes gonna win.  And Hassan and Murphy, too.

[DavidB.]

He's mocking one of our notable posters who actually said Toomey had a worse chance than a Republican in the California Senate race.

Ah, I see. I already hoped that this post was satirical, but didn't want to spend too much energy on it.

[Mr. Illini]

Encouraging numbers in FL, but holding out on too much optimism.

Solid in Ohio. Looking positive there.

PA is consistently looking like it will leave contention, but you never know.

[Xing]

This is the same poll that showed strange results on the presidential level. With that said, in this poll, Toomey is over-performing the Republican ticket, while Portman is under-performing it. That's a bit surprising to me.

[Kingpoleon]

Toomey's ceiling is 42%. Republicans simply can't win Pennsylvania in a presidential year. Heck, the GOP has a better chance of picking up the open seat in CA than keeping this seat in Republican hands.

Toomey's floor is probably closer to 45%. If the GOP loses the Presidency and he loses his Senate seat, he could start tearing up for Governor.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wolf is a great gov and he is going to have a great 2 terms, Pa usually keeps a Gov around for two terms, Corbett was the only exception.

[Xing]

Wolf is a great gov and he is going to have a great 2 terms, Pa usually keeps a Gov around for two terms, Corbett was the only exception.

You're right. Republicans should give up on a race in a fairly competitive state three years out. You should be a Republican strategist, and advise Republicans to give up on this race and the OH senate race.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wolf is a great Gov and Bob Casey Jr is on ballot who is a progun advocate; and so is Strickland which neutralize that issue. 

But with Trump instead of Jeb on ballot dems are favored.

[136or142]

olitics1.com @Politics1com
OH USSEN DEM (PPP): ex-Gov Ted Strickland 61%, Cincinnati City Councilman PG Sittenfeld 10%, occup therapist Kelli Prather 10%.

So, is Sittenfeld going to prather on and on about how he's still a viable opponent to Strickland?

[Ebsy]

The polls have consistently shown Portman in serious trouble. I don't know how anyone can rate it more than a toss up at this point.

[Xing]

^I don't know, Democrats haven't done too well in statewide races in Ohio. Strickland's leads haven't been huge, so I'd hesitate to call him the favorite. I certainly don't buy Portman trailing Strickland while Toomey easily leads.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Strickland is a good candidate and should win.

[Free Bird]

The fact that Alan Grayson is leading causes me to throw out this otherwise reasonably believable poll series.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Pat J Toomey & Ted Strickland may very well win, not the other way around. Because Dems have a Bob Casey Dem running in Ohio. 

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Grayson will NOT win the Senate seat if he is the nominee, plain and simple.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

NH and NV  are clearly tipping point races and Toomey is very much vulnerable. And Dems should concentrate on Ohio, should Grayson get nominated for 50/51 seats.