Another alternative US states thread
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  Another alternative US states thread
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #25 on: November 30, 2015, 02:31:56 PM »



Here's where the states migrate eastward.

What is our Delaware is now an integral part of Maryland. The State of New York refers to NYC and our northern New Jersey, upstate New York is a different state, and the State of New Jersey refers to our southern New Jersey and is a Delaware equivalent.

I'd imagine Nevada is a Safe R state, California has more EVs, and Arkansas is way more competitive with the addition of Memphis and many majority black river counties.
Kansas probably gets a Democratic seat!!
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bagelman
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« Reply #26 on: December 04, 2015, 04:37:26 PM »



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Ariosto
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« Reply #27 on: December 04, 2015, 04:44:05 PM »


Is there method to this madness? I can see you've moved the numbers around, but I can't see the reasoning behind it.
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bagelman
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« Reply #28 on: December 04, 2015, 05:44:46 PM »


Is there method to this madness? I can see you've moved the numbers around, but I can't see the reasoning behind it.

corresponds to



Here's where the states migrate eastward.

What is our Delaware is now an integral part of Maryland. The State of New York refers to NYC and our northern New Jersey, upstate New York is a different state, and the State of New Jersey refers to our southern New Jersey and is a Delaware equivalent.

I'd imagine Nevada is a Safe R state, California has more EVs, and Arkansas is way more competitive with the addition of Memphis and many majority black river counties.



It's something that would be more clear if I had artistic talent or the patience to actually create an electoral map from scratch after spending several hours copying and pasting numbers into calc.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #29 on: December 04, 2015, 08:07:46 PM »


Is there method to this madness? I can see you've moved the numbers around, but I can't see the reasoning behind it.

corresponds to



Here's where the states migrate eastward.

What is our Delaware is now an integral part of Maryland. The State of New York refers to NYC and our northern New Jersey, upstate New York is a different state, and the State of New Jersey refers to our southern New Jersey and is a Delaware equivalent.

I'd imagine Nevada is a Safe R state, California has more EVs, and Arkansas is way more competitive with the addition of Memphis and many majority black river counties.



It's something that would be more clear if I had artistic talent or the patience to actually create an electoral map from scratch after spending several hours copying and pasting numbers into calc.

What were the margins in Arkansas, North Carolina, Ohio, and Oregon?

How would it look, assuming uniform change, if the national vote had been tied?

Also, it's hilarious that Nevada becomes our reddest (Atlas blue-ist) state.
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bagelman
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« Reply #30 on: November 10, 2016, 10:27:24 PM »

http://i.imgur.com/uEs765e.png

I spent way too long on this; an electoral map of the southern migration map (top of thread) that uses OTL borders, just to illustrate EVs and flipped states.

The box normally used for DC is used for WF, DC is absorbed into Maryland (which completely counters the net population loss for giving up Greater Baltimore in exchange for NOVA). Rhode Island and WF both have 3 EVs.







Trump wins with 282 EV. Wisconsin and Minnesota aren't called for days, and possibly Colorado as well. These narrow victories for Clinton are rendered moot when she loses Adirondack, a must win for Trump, and he wins one of the upper midwest state (MI). This election would take longer than a single night to be decided. The loss would be even more devastating for democrats, more like 2000 than 2004.
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Goldwater
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« Reply #31 on: November 10, 2016, 11:34:43 PM »

Oh hey, it's back! I always like these kind of threads. I assume you will be doing the rest of the maps too? Grin
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bagelman
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« Reply #32 on: November 11, 2016, 05:59:50 PM »

Oh hey, it's back! I always like these kind of threads. I assume you will be doing the rest of the maps too? Grin

yep Smiley

What an accurate prediction map might have looked like



What a potential map posted on Atlas before the election might look like



With now-laughable optimism about SC and GA, and the potential for ID to go tossup.

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AGA
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« Reply #33 on: November 14, 2016, 12:25:52 PM »

How would the westward map look?
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bagelman
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« Reply #34 on: April 06, 2017, 08:52:42 PM »




Trump wins with 282 EV. Wisconsin and Minnesota aren't called for days, and possibly Colorado as well. These narrow victories for Clinton are rendered moot when she loses Adirondack, a must win for Trump, and he wins one of the upper midwest state (MI). This election would take longer than a single night to be decided. The loss would be even more devastating for democrats, more like 2000 than 2004.


(map updated with proper shading)
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bagelman
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« Reply #35 on: April 07, 2017, 12:31:12 AM »

2012 results for northward migration



2016 results for northward migration

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bagelman
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« Reply #36 on: April 07, 2017, 05:04:39 PM »

Eastward migration

2012:



2016:


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bagelman
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« Reply #37 on: April 07, 2017, 08:21:58 PM »

Westward migration

(note: while the original map doesn't have it, I opted to include Orange County in AZ...)

2012:



2016:



Two counties in MN are enough to make the state vote D
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