CBS/NYT national: Trump 27% Carson 21% Cruz 9%; Clinton 46% Sanders 27%

[Gallium]

GOP:

Trump 27%
Carson 21%
Cruz 9%
Rubio 8%
Fiorina 6%
Bush 6%
Paul 4%
Christie 3%
Huckabee 2%
Kasich 2%
Santorum 1%

Dems:

Clinton 46%
Sanders 27%
Biden 16%
Webb 2%

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-trump-still-leads-carson-in-second/
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-hillary-clinton-still-leads-democratic-race/

[The Other Castro]

Looks like Paul's probably making the debate, Trump's and Carson's numbers are still good, and Bush continues to fall.

[weixiaobao]

Before people go "junk poll since no Gilmore."

Jindal and Pataki have less than .5%
Graham and Gilmore seemed to not even have a single supporter poll this time around.

[/]

Nice #s for Sanders

[OkThen]

But I thought Trump was doomed and Rubio was surging?

[mencken]

So since Trump's meltdown at the CNN debate, he has fallen from a peak of 27% in the previous CBS/NYT poll all the way down to a more humbling 27%. Truly an Icarus-like tragedy.

[Senator Cris]

Changes from September (poll made before the debate):

Cruz +4
Rubio +2
Fiorina +2
Christie +2
Paul +1
Trump 0
Bush 0
Santorum 0
Kasich - 1
Carson - 2
Huckabee -4

[Phony Moderate]

It's pretty clear that Trump has around 25% of the GOP electorate that will stick with him no matter what.

[Mehmentum]

Good polls for Trump, Carson, and Cruz.

[Volrath50]

So since Trump's meltdown at the CNN debate, he has fallen from a peak of 27% in the previous CBS/NYT poll all the way down to a more humbling 27%. Truly an Icarus-like tragedy.

So far, every "THIS IS THE END FOR TRUMP" moment has turned out to be completely and utterly false. It seems like Trump's post-debate "collapse" was pretty much an invention/wishful thinking by the media/GOP establishment.

[The Other Castro]

They also polled Lessig, but he again received an *.

[/]

They also polled Lessig, but he again received an *.

Does that mean literally no supporters or just <0.5%?

[The Mikado]

Best chance of winning in November:

Trump 35
Carson 18
Rubio 11
Jeb! 10
Fiorina 7
Cruz 5

Favorability among Republican Primary Voters:

Carson 62/7
Trump 53/29
Rubio 50/12
Fiorina 45/13
Jeb! 32/38

Again, "But Trump's high unfavorables doom him! Jeb!'s don't matter, don't worry about that."

Favorability with the general electorate:

Carson 34/22
Trump 28/53
Rubio 27/25
Fiorina 26/21
Jeb! 20/48

[Bull Moose Base]

Carson's strong polling and sky high net favorables are instructive on what Republicans consider a gaffe. A crazy party.

[The Mikado]

It is getting increasingly humorous watching people insist that Trump and Carson will both fade before Iowa because reasons.

[Progressive]

So basically Kasich really doesn't have a shot. Aren't his #s worse than Huntsman's at this point?

[The Mikado]

So basically Kasich really doesn't have a shot. Aren't his #s worse than Huntsman's at this point?

Kasich's RCP average is 3.3 today. Huntsman's was 1.6 four years ago today.

[Xing]

Trump, Carson, and Cruz are in the lead. Republican party, what the hell happened to you!?

[Donald Trump 2016 !]

Trump, Carson, and Cruz are in the lead. Republican party, what the hell happened to you!?

Cruz is only leading Rubio by one point.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Best chance of winning in November:

Trump 35
Carson 18
Rubio 11
Jeb! 10
Fiorina 7
Cruz 5

Favorability among Republican Primary Voters:

Carson 62/7
Trump 53/29
Rubio 50/12
Fiorina 45/13
Jeb! 32/38

Again, "But Trump's high unfavorables doom him! Jeb!'s don't matter, don't worry about that."

Favorability with the general electorate:

Carson 34/22
Trump 28/53
Rubio 27/25
Fiorina 26/21
Jeb! 20/48

Ouch.

[socaldem]

GOP:

Trump 27%
Carson 21%
Cruz 9%
Rubio 8%
Fiorina 6%
Bush 6%
Paul 4%
Christie 3%
Huckabee 2%
Kasich 2%
Santorum 1%

Dems:

Clinton 46%
Sanders 27%
Biden 16%
Webb 2%

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-trump-still-leads-carson-in-second/
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-hillary-clinton-still-leads-democratic-race/

I think Huckabee supporters are drained by the Cruz and Carson double team.

[Why]

So since Trump's meltdown at the CNN debate, he has fallen from a peak of 27% in the previous CBS/NYT poll all the way down to a more humbling 27%. Truly an Icarus-like tragedy.

So far, every "THIS IS THE END FOR TRUMP" moment has turned out to be completely and utterly false. It seems like Trump's post-debate "collapse" was pretty much an invention/wishful thinking by the media/GOP establishment.

The CBS poll just before the debate was lower than the other polls just before the debate which where 30+. The polls after the debate were lower, Trump did lose support after the debate but it seems that is coming back.
Carson's numbers also clearly dropped straight after the debate but has also recovered.
Pretending there was no drop in the polling of Trump and Carson is just wrong.
Rubio and Fiorina who both received post debate boosts seems to have lost that boost as well, so the debates seem to be having only a short term effect on polling and people quickly forget them.

[mencken]

Trump is doing to primary debates what Michele Bachmann did to the Iowa Straw Poll.

[Minnesota Mike]

Has to worry the GOP that their top 3 candidates are not electable.

[mencken]

Has to worry the GOP that their top 3 candidates are not electable.

Even though Carson does better than the rest of the field in general election head-to-heads?