CT-Quinnipiac: Biden does best in GE, Sanders slightly better than Hillary

[Tender Branson]

Vice President Biden runs best against top Republican contenders in general election matchups in Connecticut:

    51 - 39 percent over Carson;
    53 - 36 percent over Fiorina:
    55 - 37 percent over Trump.

Clinton gets 44 percent to Carson's 42 percent. She leads Fiorina 45 - 40 percent and tops Trump 47 - 40 percent.

Sanders gets 44 percent to Carson's 41 percent. He leads Fiorina 44 - 39 percent and beats Trump 49 - 40 percent.

Connecticut voters give Biden the best favorability rating of any presidential contender, 56 - 29 percent. Jeb Bush gets a negative 33 - 51 percent, among the worst scores. Favorability ratings for candidates are:

    Clinton: Negative 42 - 51 percent;
    Trump: Negative 37 - 56 percent;
    Carson: 39 - 26 percent;
    Sanders: 39 - 25 percent;
    Fiorina: 33 - 25 percent.

---

From October 7 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,735 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. The survey includes 464 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points and 610 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2289

[mds32]

Sad Clinton numbers. The fact alone the GOP is already at 40% in the state says it all, if the GOP gets to 43-45% then the polling is true that the GOP is going to do much better in NH.

[RFayette]

Sad Clinton numbers. The fact alone the GOP is already at 40% in the state says it all, if the GOP gets to 43-45% then the polling is true that the GOP is going to do much better in NH.

It is Quinnipiac, so heaps of salt are needed, but yeah, she has definitely been weakened.

[EliteLX]

#PleaseNominateHillary

[JonathanSwift]

#PleaseNominateHillary

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

#PleaseNominateHillary

[MT Treasurer]

#PleaseNominateHillary

[100% pro-life no matter what]

#PleaseNominateHillary

Nominate her and risk this, Democrats:

[Skye]

#PleaseNominateHillary

[Maxwell]

IDK why Quinnipiac is suddenly recognized as a horrible pollster? (my guess? Shills be shillin) It's pretty clear that Carson has been leading by double digits in a lot of states, why would it be shocking that Ben Carson is only down 2 in Connecticut?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump got a worse approval than Clinton. So please nominate him who trails in most swing states.

[Fusionmunster]

IDK why Quinnipiac is suddenly recognized as a horrible pollster? (my guess? Shills be shillin) It's pretty clear that Carson has been leading by double digits in a lot of states, why would it be shocking that Ben Carson is only down 2 in Connecticut?

Quinnipiac threw out some extreme polling in 2014, and they continue to poll as if it's 2014. My opinion is that they poll badly this far out and only start getting in line with reality as the election nears.

Example...
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2080

[EliteLX]

Trump got a worse approval than Clinton. So please nominate him who trails in most swing states.

Trump will not be nominated. Loudness burns out eventually, there is no substance to his message. There is a 95% chance Rubio, Carson, or Jeb takes the nomination mid next year.

IDK why Quinnipiac is suddenly recognized as a horrible pollster? (my guess? Shills be shillin) It's pretty clear that Carson has been leading by double digits in a lot of states, why would it be shocking that Ben Carson is only down 2 in Connecticut?

Absolutely. Quinnipiac is actually a very reputable pollster, it simply correlates with the "results that seem new/results I dont like = loool horrible poll trash!1" fallacy commonly echoed around these forums.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Jeb is at 6 percent in NH. But, Trump has been winning all the debates. The GOP needs to start making contingency plans since Fox polls has Trump ahead. And he is a billionaire, like Rauner he can blanket GOP airwaves.

[pbrower2a]

Sad Clinton numbers. The fact alone the GOP is already at 40% in the state says it all, if the GOP gets to 43-45% then the polling is true that the GOP is going to do much better in NH.

Its indecision that keeps Clinton from just clobbering every Republican every imaginable Republican nominee in Connecticut. She has yet to put the server issue and the Benghazi investigation behind her. The damage came quickly and any recovery will be slow.  

Just look at how Joe Biden does --  portending a win much like Obama in 2008. If Hillary Clinton is able to put some messes into oblivion, she still wins big in 2016.

[Xing]

In case everyone has forgotten, early polls in Connecticut always massively overestimate Republicans. Sure, trends are consistent until they aren't, but there's literally no reason (other than this poll) to believe that Connecticut could actually be in play. Next.

[Kingpoleon]

Only Carson or Paul or maybe CHRISTIE would push the margin here below ten.

[YaBoyNY]

Only Carson or Paul or maybe CHRISTIE would push the margin here below ten.

None of those candidates would push the margin below ten.

Socon Carson and lolbertarian Paul have zero appeal in CT.

[pbrower2a]

New and germane edit:

Sad Clinton numbers. The fact alone the GOP is already at 40% in the state says it all, if the GOP gets to 43-45% then the polling is true that the GOP is going to do much better in NH.

It's indecision that keeps Clinton from just clobbering every Republican every imaginable Republican nominee in Connecticut. She has yet to put the server issue and the Benghazi investigation behind her. The damage came quickly and any recovery will be slow.  

Just look at how Joe Biden does --  portending a win much like Obama in 2008. If Hillary Clinton is able to put some messes into oblivion, she still wins big in 2016.

Joe Biden just showed what he thought of the situation -- he ended any prospect of a campaign for the Presidency. He would have run for President had Hillary Clinton imploded. He knew that she would not.

I here make a prediction: that within the next few weeks Hillary Clinton will see her  map going much more Atlas red. Polls of Florida, Colorado, Iowa, Pennsylvania, and Virginia from several weeks ago are now obsolete. Maps showing those polls show her when the server 'scandal' and an inquiry about the murder of an American diplomat in Benghazi could have ruined her Presidential campaign. Sure the inquiry has imploded -- apparently to the detriment of Republicans.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

#PleaseNominateHillary

Nominate her and risk this, Democrats:

Lol no.

[pbrower2a]

#PleaseNominateHillary

Nominate her and risk this, Democrats:

Had the server 'scandal' and disclosure of turpitude on her part discredited her, she would lose the 2016 Presidential election badly -- maybe 419-119 as this map shows. She would win only the sorts of voters who would never vote for any Republican, which is about 40% of the vote.

Keep bringing up the server 'scandal' and Benghazi, and Republicans risk this mirror image:

419 electoral votes basically requires Texas, so I can't give a mirror image of the 419-119 Republican victory that you thought possible.